Blake Redden's Preview for Shepparton

Thu, 22 Feb 2018

We are off to Shepparton in the day and it's a marathon 10-race program we have to work through. That gives us the chance to pick the eyes out of the card punting-wise. I've settled on a best bet, two value plays and also both the Early and Normal Quaddie.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: David Aiken, Leading Driver: Josh Aiken

The Moral

Race 3 - No.4 Regal Cheval

He will appreciate a big drop back in class on his recent efforts and is a good chance of leading throughout.



Best Bet(s) - $35 Win
R3 No.4 - Trunkey Tash$2.6*
This filly has struck some strong races recently but on the balance of what we've seen from her, particularly her effort behind Prophesy a few starts back, she looks well placed today.
Best Value ($15 Win x $25 Place)
R1 No.5 - Scottish Sardius$3*
There's probably not a lot between the top four in this race but this mare just continues to race well so at the better odds, she's worth an each-way bet.
R4 No.4 - Calaquendi$4*
This mare ran a good race resuming and she's always threatened to be pretty handy. With that run under her belt she again looks a super each-way bet here.
Quaddie ($20 Flexi Early Quaddie + $100 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies)
1,2,3,4,8/6/4,10/1,7,9.$60 gets 200%
1,2,3,4,8/2,4,5,7/4,10/1,7,9.$40 gets 33.33%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

DNR LOGISTICS TROTTERS HANDICAP

2


TEST OF FAITH

3


STARLIGHT STORM

6


CONCHS CRITTER

1


COBBLER CREEK

4


ZOOMALONG JOHNNY

5


SCOTTISH SARDIUS

7


SUNOFATRUMP

8


JETER

R2

DPR INSURANCE SUPPLEMENTARY RACE

1


I HOPE ICAN

2


BUSHI NZ

8


SON OF MARA

3


ONLY ONE SLIM

4


BROTHER RABBIT

5


MANOEUVER MAN

6


ART PREVAILS

7


ELECT TO GO NZ

9


BUBBLING GYPSY

R3

SADDLEWORLD SHEPPARTON PACE

1


SHILAH

4


TRUNKEY TASH

6


TROUBLE LOOMING

8


ABROAD

11


WESTVILLAGEEMILY

3


LIVE WELL

5


CONCORDE DAWN NZ

7


ZEROS SHOUT

9


HARRY TURBO

10


BLACKWHITEANDBLUE

R4

YOUR SOLD REAL ESTATE PACE (1ST HEAT)

1


DEL ROSARIO

2


LILY LOMBLISS

8


WINKN NOD

3


HAYJOSHANDCO

4


CALAQUENDI

5


ROYAL KNOCKOUT

6


BYALLA BOY

7


WANTALINGA DREAM

R5

YOUR SOLD REAL ESTATE PACE (2ND HEAT)

1


AURORE

7


RUBY BYE BYE

8


LADY SANSA NZ

9


BREAK OF DAWN

2


RUNFORTHEROSES

3


INDIANA ANGEL

4


TAYSPASTIME

5


COBIE HALL

6


SLICE OF LIFE

R6

YOUR SOLD REAL ESTATE PACE (3RD HEAT)

1


SPECIAL BET

2


KISSMELVIS

8


MAJOR WISH

4


LIGHTS AND MUSIC

5


LETSROCKLETSROLL

6


DANSBRO

7


CURLIMORE NZ

9


WOTPLANETRUFROM

R7

BOHBRON PARK PACE

1


STARESS

2


RED RIVER GLACIER

3


BENSONFIRE

8


ROYAL HUSTLER

4


LAREDO TORPEDO NZ

6


OUR NOVAK NZ

7


ITS JUST KENNY

5


MAJOR PATRON NZ

9


DANMAN

10


SCOTLYNN JACK NZ

R8

NEATLINE HOMES PACE

1


POW WOW BROMAC NZ

8


IT IS A GLACIER

10


ROYAL WITNESS

3


PROVOCATOR

4


RAMBLENROLLER

5


ALPE DE HUEZ

2


TALLY OPERATOR

6


THE HIGH ROLLER NZ

7


MICHAEL JOSEPH

9


NOR NOR WEST

R9

CENTRAL TYRE SERVICE 3YO PACE

1


PRINCE POTTER

4


LILNOVA

8


OZZIE MAJOR

9


DONT TELL ALICE

2


DESPONDENT

3


CEE VEE VEE

5


VILLAGE OF GOLD

6


OUR CHATEAU LAFITE

10


CMON PRETTY MUMMA

R10

ELITE HORSE TRANSPORT PACE FINAL

1


AMELIA HOLMES

2


PRINCESSOFZANZIBAR

5


FAN TAYS YA

8


CROCODILE KID

3


MORELINER

4


BLUE CHIP MADAM

7


EXTORTION

12


I ITS ME

9


AN ALLIANCE

10


MANGOCHILILIME

11


THREEPEAT

13


CROOKWELL JAKE

BET ALL RACES

Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5), TEST OF FAITH (2), SONOFATRUMP (7), JETER (8).
Suggested Bet No.SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5) was a strong last start winner at Swan Hull and all of her recent form has been exemplary so she should put herself right there again. TEST OF FAITH (2) got the job done on Echuca Cup night and he was building to that maiden win so he's capable again. SONOFATRUMP (7) is undoubtedly good enough and he put the writing on the wall last time. JETER (8) is the other clear Early Quaddie player while multiples can include COBBLER CREEK (1) too.  

EARLY SPEED:  2,3,5

RATINGS: 5/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 1/ 3/ 4/ 6.

R2

Selections No.SON OF MARA (8), ART PREVAILS (6), MANOEUVER MAN (5), BROTHER RABBIT (4).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 8/4,5,6/4,5,6 for $20 gets 333%.$*
OVERVIEW: SON OF MARA (8) comes here off the back of some solid QLD form but it is his recent Shepparton trial which is the indicator to say he should be too strong today. ART PREVAILS (6) should improve in an easier grade but there is a group of them that have place hopes including all of MANOEUVER MAN (5), BROTHER RABBIT (4), BUSHI (2) and BUBBLING GYPSY (9).

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 5,7?

RATINGS: 8/ 6/ 5/ 4/ 2/ 9/ 7/ 1/ 3.

R3

Selections No.TRUNKEY TASH (4), SHILAH (1), BLACKWHITEANDBLUE (10), TROUBLE LOOMING (6).
Suggested Bet No.TRUNKEY TASH (4) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: TRUNKEY TASH (4) has struck some Derby and Oaks contenders in her past three or four starts but with the handy draw here, she gets her chance to find her best. SHILAH (1) continues to tick over well but the inside barrier could be problematic.  BLACKWHITEANDBLUE (10) is an interesting runner and can win while TROUBLE LOOMING (6). ABROAD (8) and ZEROS SHOUT (7) are next best.

EARLY SPEED:  4 (Potential leader, hand-up?) + 6,7?

RATINGS: 4/ 1/ 10/ 6/ 8/ 7/ 5/ 11/ 9/ 3.

R4

Selections No.CALAQUENDI (4), DEL ROSARIO (1), HAYJOSHANDCO (3), LILY LOMBLISS (2).
Suggested Bet No.CALAQUENDI (4) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: CALAQUENDI (4) hit the line well first-up from a break and with that under her belt she can lob just off speed here and be rushing home again. DEL ROSARIO (1) will only need to have taken slight improvement from last time to be in the hunt again here but HAYJOSHANDCO (3), LILY LOMBLISS (2), WANTALINGA DREAM (7) and WINKN NOD (8) can all go into wider Early Quaddies.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,3,4

RATINGS: 4/ 1/ 3/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 5/ 6.

R5

Selections No.AURORE (1), RUNFORTHEROSES (2), INDIANA ANGEL (3), SLICE OF LIFE (6).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Boxed Trifecta 1,2,3,6 for $20 gets 83.33%.$*
OVERVIEW: AURORE (1) is a last start winner who finds a similar race and if she can hold her rivals wide early, she’ll have the chance to dictate terms. RUNFORTHEROSES (2) is never far away and should end up in a nice spot while INDIANA ANGEL (3) should bounce off the first-up run. SLICE OF LIFE (6) is the other outside winning chance while LADY SANSA (8) and TAYSPASTIME (4) go into first fours.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (potential leader) + 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 2/ 3/ 6/ 8/ 4/ 5/ 9/ 7.

R6

Selections No.DANSBRO (6), LETSROCKLETSROLL (5), LIGHTS AND MUSIC (4), KISSMELVIS (2).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Boxed Trifecta 2,4,5,6 for $20 gets 83.33%.$*
OVERVIEW: DANSBRO (6) didn’t run any sort of special time at his second start but he won like a very nice horse. He’s had a couple of recent trials to ready him for his return and in an even race, he just gets the nod. LETSROCKLETSROLL (5) broke through last time and that form has already stood up well. LIGHTS AND MUSIC (4) will be winning very shortly and it may well be today while KISSMELVIS (2) and CURLIMORE (7) are also likely to be thereabouts.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,5,6?

RATINGS: 6/ 5/ 4/ 2/ 7/ 9/ 8/ 1.

R7

Selections No.LAREDO TORPEDO (4), SCOTLYNN JACK (10), RED REIVER GLACIER (2), DANMAN (9).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 4,10/4,10/2,5,7,9 for $20 gets 250%.$*
OVERVIEW: LAREDO TORPEDO (4) was most impressive at Melton last time and he was only second-up there so with natural improvement he's looms the hardest to beat. SCOTLYNN JACK (10) couldn’t have done much more in three Australian starts and he’s the clearest threat. Value punters can have something each way on RED REIVER GLACIER (2) while trifectas and first fours must respect all of DANMAN (9), MAJOR PATRON (5) and ITS JUST KENNY (7), DANMAN (9).

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,3? 4? 6? 7

RATINGS: 4/ 10/ 2/ 9/ 5/ 7/ 8/ 6/ 3/ 1.

R8

Selections No.POW WOW BROMAC (1), NOR NOR WEST (9), MICHAEL JOSEPH (7), THE HIGH ROLLER (6).
Suggested Bet No.MICHAEL JOSEPH (7) Each Way.$*
OVERVIEW: POW WOW BROMAC (1) chased home a smart mare in Alessa last time and from the draw he'll have options early an based on anything like his best he looks well suited today. NOR NOR WEST (9) ran a good race resuming behind Rockstar Angel and this is a little easier so he's a Quaddie must along with MICHAEL JOSEPH (7) who draws poorly but didn't have much luck in a bunched finish last time. THE HIGH ROLLER (6) is in the mix for wider trifectas along with all of IT IS A GLACIER (8), ALPE DE HUEZ (5) and ROYAL WITNESS (10).

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Likely leader) + 4? 5

RATINGS: 1/ 9/ 7/ 6/ 8/ 5/ 10/ 3/ 2/ 4.

R9

Selections No.PRINCE POTTER (1), OZZIE MAJOR (8), VILLAGE OF GOLD (5), OUR CHATEAU LAFITE (6).
Suggested Bet No.VILLAGE OF GOLD (5) To Place.$*
OVERVIEW: PRINCE POTTER (1) is almost interesting runner who gets back to the front row here and despite being ODM recently; he has shown early speed in the past. OZZIE MAJOR (8) comes through similar form lines and should get a soft run while VILLAGE OF GOLD (5) is flying under the radar but can go close here with OUR CHATEAU LAFITE (6),  ROYAL WITNESS (10) and TALLY OPERATOR (2) all first four hopes.

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Likely leader) + 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 8/ 5/ 6/ 10/ 3/ 2/ 4/ 9.

R10

Selections No.AMELIA HOLMES (1), MORELINER (3), THREEPEAT (11), FAN TAYS YA (5).
Suggested Bet No.FAN TAYS YA (5) To Place.$*
OVERVIEW: AMELIA HOLMES (1) handled her heat of this final resuming and with the right draw if she can lob no worse than leaders back then she's capable of winning a very even race. MORELINER (3) comes through the same heat and was right there on the line and she's always consistent. Plenty more can win though with the other heat winner THREEPEAT (11) taking out his qualifier in soft fashion. FAN TAYS YA (5) was running on late and isn't the worst roughie while EXTORTION (7), PRINCESSOFZANZIBAR (2) and AN ALLIANCE (9) are the next best.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Likely leader) + 1,4,7?

RATINGS: 1/ 3/ 11/ 5/ 7/ 2/ 9/ 10/ 8/ 13/ 4/ 12.

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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