Blake Redden's Preview for Ballarat

Fri, 25 May 2018

Tonight kicks off what is a big weekend in the trots with all eyes on Maori Time in the Elitlopp on Sunday. We've also got a strong Metro card to work through tomorrow night but first attention turns to Ballarat tonight. We've got a pretty short card for a Friday night but amongst the eight races you couldn't ask for much more as a punter. We'll be settling in to two best bets, a belter value option, a money race and then a cheeky turn at both the Early and the Normal Quaddies.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: No, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford

The Moral

Race 8 - No. 9 General Dodge

This fellow has the second row draw over the short course trip which always makes life hard but he is also just better than his rivals.



Best Bet(s) - $30 Win
R2 No.10 - Success Counts$2.8*
This guy has only been to the races on three occasions and he totally bundled it at his first Aussie try but he trialled extremely well prior and if he trots throughout he'll be very hard to beat.
R3 No.9 - Topsies Delight$2.5*
This girl bolted in three starts back and i'm willing to forgive her past couple. This looks the right race for her so at better than even money, she must be worth a bet.
Best Value ($25 Each Way)
R7 No.3 - Into The Unknown$5*
This girl is by no means a brilliant beginner from the mobile but not only has she parked outside of Tornado Valley (8) recently and made a real race of it, if she can stay in front of him I see a scenario where she moves first and he rolls to the breeze leaving her with the coveted one by one and the last shot at the favourites.
Money Race
R6 $30 Worth Of Flexi First Fours
We'll need the pins to fall the right way at the backend of this first four but Duplicated (1) looks an almost certain winner and Tam Major (8) a clear second elect. We will play a small saver allowing for Tam Major (8) to be pinned away on the peg line and one of the other dangers able to nab second.
1/8/2,4,6,7/2,4,6,7. $25 gets 208.33%
1/2,4,6,7/8/2,4,6,7. $5 gets 41.667%
Quaddie ($20 Worth Of Flexi Early Quaddies + $85 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies)
8/1/3/5.$13 gets 1300%
8/1/3,5,8/2,5.$30 gets 500%
8/1/3,5,8/1,6,7.$12 gets 200%
8/8/3,5,8/2,5.$12 gets 200%
5/1/3,5,8/2,5.$12 gets 200%
3,4,6,7/1/3,5,8/2,5.$6 gets 25%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL MORWELL & COLLINGWOOD TROT

1


BLACK SAHARA

2


REILS

4


PIRATES OF VENICE

8


UNIQUE POWER NZ

10


ZOOM ALONG DREAMER

3


RUMSPRINGER

5


ALL OVER THE STARS NZ

6


EOGHAN OMAILLE

7


MENAMES DABOSS

9


DYNAMIC LEGACY

11


VALSUE

R2

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL MOORABBIN 3YO TROT

1


DI LI

2


MASCOTT

4


MAJESTIC PINEVALE

5


MAJESTIC EYES

8


IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ

3


PARISIAN OPERA

6


SEVERE STORM

7


BEBUBBALOUIE

9


FLYIN AROUND

10


SUCCESS COUNTS NZ

11


ANYWHERE HUGO

R3

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL THOMASTOWN & BAYSWATER 3YO PACE

1


NICABIT NZ

2


ELIZABETHAN ERA

7


MASAKE

8


SAVIOUR CLARE

10


VERNNAY

3


LIL GEORGA MAC

4


NEW YORK BABE

5


NATS A CHRISTIAN

6


OUTBACK SHADOW

9


TOPSIES DELIGHT

R4

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL GEELONG & PORT MELBOURNE PACE

1


PEARLESCENT

2


LICK MY LIPS

3


LIKA SAHARA

4


OUR EDWARD LEWIS

5


APOLLON

6


UNDALINER

7


TWO TELL

8


DONTSHOWYOURACES

R5

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL BALLARAT PACE

1


CHRISTIAN JAZ NZ

4


THE HIGH ROLLER NZ

6


HOLLYS MISS MOLLY

2


OUR SUMMER WIND NZ

3


CHRISTMAS JOLT

5


OUR SIR OLIVER

7


TOP THE ACE

8


KEAYANG DA VINCI

R6

COLIN & HEATHER HOLLOWAY 3YO CLASSIC

1


DUPLICATED NZ

2


VAPAR JACK

8


TAM MAJOR

3


ANDREW JAY

4


AMERICAN ZEST

5


RACKEMUP TIGERPIE

6


BRAEVIEW BONDI

7


JOE NIEN

R7

JOHN SLACK MEMORIAL TROTTERS CUP (GROUP 3)

1


BELTS

2


IONA GRINNER

5


TOUGH MONARCH

3


INTO THE UNKNOWN

4


ILLCRYIFHEWINDS

8


TORNADO VALLEY NZ

6


FATHER CHRISTMAS NZ

7


GLENFERRIE BURN

9


FABRICATION

R8

ACTIVE ELECTRICAL BENDIGO PACE

1


BYALLA BOY

3


POPPYS PRINCESS

5


COURAGEOUS AFFAIR

2


VANDANTA NZ

4


ALL EYES AND EARS

6


THE KIWI WAY NZ

7


CLASSIC MAKER

BET ALL RACES

Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.REILS (2), DYNAMIC LEGACY (9), ALL OVER THE STARS (5), EOGHAN OMAILLE (6).
Suggested Bet No. Flexi Trifecta 2/5,6,9/5,6,9,10,11 for $20 gets 167%.$*
OVERVIEW: REILS (2) has been off handicaps at his past few but all his runs have been sound and he begins like a rocket from the mobile so provided he leads as expected, he should be incredibly hard to run down. DYNAMIC LEGACY (9) continues to fly under the radar but if he reproduces all of his recent form then he’ll run a cheeky race. ALL OVER THE STARS (5) is pretty hard to line—up after galling first time out in Aus but he at least stays under notice. EOGHAN OMAILLE (6) is on the next level with fellow value hopes VALSUE (11) and ZOOMALONG DREAMER (10).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Likely leader) + 1,5,6

RATINGS: 2/ 9/ 5/ 6/ 11/ 10/ 3/ 4/ 7/ 8/ 1.

R2

Selections No.SUCCESS COUNTS (10), ANYWHERE HUGO (11), IMPERIAL WHIZ (8), MASCOTT (2).
Suggested Bet No.SUCCESS COUNTS (10) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: SUCCESS COUNTS (10) trialled particularly well on a couple of occasions before making a mess of his Aussie debut but from the trailing draw he will get the chance to balance up early and from there, he can make his move and put some distance between himself and his main rival. ANYWHERE HUGO (11) is right in the top bracket of three-year-old trotters when he puts his best foot forward but he is prone to errors so that’s the risk you take. IMPERIAL WHIZ (8) may need luck from inside the second row but he’s not totally out of it while MASCOTT (2), SEVERE STORM (6) and PARISIAN OPERA (3) are the wider chances with luck.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Likely leader) + 1,3? 7?

RATINGS: 10/ 11/ 8/ 2/ 6/ 3/ 4/ 9/ 1/ 7/ 5.

R3

Selections No.TOPSIES DELIGHT (9), NICABIT (1), NATS A CHRISTIAN (5), SAVIOUR CLARE (8).
Suggested Bet No.TOPSIES DELIGHT (9) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: TOPSIES DELIGHT (9) has bumped into two pretty strong races since spearing clear at Bendigo three back and she looks well suited in a tricky little race. NICABIT (1) is still a largely unknown commodity but she has the draw to be competitive over the sprint trip. NATS A CHRISTIAN (5) ran a bottler first-up behind Cullen Reign and along with her stablemate SAVIOUR CLARE (8), they must both be considered at least Early Quaddie threats. OUTBACK SHADOW (6) comes out of a race behind Jackierabbit last time and is the other for multiples.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 5,6

RATINGS: 9/ 1/ 5/ 8/ 6/ 10/ 4/ 2/ 3/ 7.

R4

Selections No.UNDALINER (6), OUR EDWARDS LEWIS (4), APOLLON (5),  LICK MY LIPS (2).
Suggested Bet No.UNDALINER (6) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: UNDALINER (6) chased Rebeccas Copy at Charlton pretty admirably and while there is speed underneath him, his best form would still put him right in the finish. OUR EDWARDS LEWIS (4) is ready to win based on his narrow last start defeat however APOLLON (5) should be better for the first-up run and LICK MY LIPS (2) has shown speed at the trials. DONTSHOWYOURACES (8) is the next best.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 2,4,5?

RATINGS: 6/ 4/ 5/ 2/ 8/ 7/ 1/ 3.

R5

Selections No.KEAYANG DA VINCI (8), OUR SIR OLIVER (5), TOP THE ACE (7), HOLLYS MISS MOLLY (6).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 8/5,7/4,5,6,7 for $20 gets 333%.$*
OVERVIEW: KEAYANG DA VINCI (8) admittedly led last time but he cruised away from his rivals like a good horses and his effort to park out and stick with Boom Time two starts back was similarly good. The second row is no spoil but he’s at the peak of his powers right now. OUR SIR OLIVER (5) has been blistering out in his last couple and if he can find the top again and get a soft section somewhere, he’ll have something left in the locker.  TOP THE ACE (7) was huge at Stawell last time out but there are plenty of others that could play a role including HOLLYS MISS MOLLY (6), THE HIGH ROLLER (4) and even CHRISTMAS JOLT (3).

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Potential leader) + 1,2,3? 5

RATINGS: 8/ 5/ 7/ 6/ 4/ 3/ 2/ 1.

R6

Selections No.DUPLICATED (1), TAM MAJOR (8), BRAEVIEW BONDI (6), JOE NIEN (7).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 1/8/4,6,7 for $20 gets 666.67%.$*
OVERVIEW: DUPLICATED (1) was most impressive in an easier race on Aussie debut when ripping around to lead mid-race and then burning home in 26.6. From the inside he’ll only need to hold his rivals wide early to be zooming home in similar fashion. TAM MAJOR (8) is somewhat awkwardly placed but if he trails through the likely favourite then he won’t run worse than second but he probably can’t win either.  BRAEVIEW BONDI (6) heads the rest but JOE NIEN (7) has to be kept safe off a soft trip. AMERICAN ZEST (4) and VAPAR JACK (2) go into the back end of first fours.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Likely leader) + 2,4,6?

RATINGS: 1/ 8/ 6/ 7/ 4/ 2/ 5/ 3.

R7

Selections No.INTO THE UNKNOWN (3), TORNADO VALLEY (8), TOUGH MONARCH (5), FABRICATION (9).
Suggested Bet No.INTO THE UNKNOWN (3) Each Way.$*
OVERVIEW: INTO THE UNKNOWN (3) has proven in the last six months she’s not far off the very best and her second to TORNADO VALLEY (8) in the Bruce Skeggs two starts back is a good indicator that if things work out in the run, she’s capable of turning the favourites over. TORNADO VALLEY (8) had his winning run ended last time but back to the middle trip may well suit and he wasn’t disgraced last time. TOUGH MONARCH (5) showed he has all sorts of talent when leading and winning at Shepparton two back so he’s the other Quaddie option while FABRICATION (9), GLENFERRIE BURN (7) and FATHER CHRISTMAS (6) are all place options.

EARLY SPEED:  5 (Potential leader) + 1,4,6?

RATINGS: 3/ 8/ 5/ 9/ 7/ 6/ 2/ 4/ 1.

R8

Selections No.COURAGEOUS AFFAIR (5), VANDANTA (2), THE KIWI WAY (6), BYALLA BOY (1).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 2,5/2,5,6/1,2,5,6,7 for $20 gets 167%.$*
OVERVIEW: COURAGEOUS AFFAIR (5) stepped up to take on a heat of the Vic Oaks and her run was quite OK all things considered. Her two wins prior this time in were both meritorious and even if she’s forced to park out tonight, she still has to rate on top. VANDANTA (2) comes through a heat and final series behind San Domino and he should enjoy the drop in grade here. THE KIWI WAY (6) is racing well enough to be a factor while first four chances must go to BYALLA BOY (1) and CLASSIC MAKER (7).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 2,3,5

RATINGS: 5/ 2/ 6/ 1/ 7/ 4/ 3.

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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