Jason Bonnington's Preview for Shepparton

Tue, 04 Aug 2015

It's not often I get a guernsey on the midweek circuit but my love for the Shepparton circuit is well known so I'm pretty pleased to be a having a little dip tonight. I'm also rapt with the fact that there are any number of potential Money races across the eight race card and that leader/behind leader scenarios are also present in several key events. It's for that reason I'm playing heavily in the exotic space and also having a goo dip at some very thin Quads while I'm also targeting just the one Best Value play.

Track information

Circumference: 1000m
Sprint Lane: Yes
Leader's win:
Leading Trainer:
Leading Driver:

The Moral

Race 4 - No. 1 Quagmire

This fellow has excellent raw ability, has trialled well for his return and is now with Belinda McCarthy. Say no more.


Take On

Race 1 - No. 2 Long Ago

The opening event is arguably the toughest on the card so you wouldn't want to be taking short odds about anything, particularly a horse that's won 1 from 14.

Best Bet(s) - $30 Win
R5 No.5 - Code Black$1.8*
He's been marked short odds in the paper but all indications are that this bloke will start at 6 to 4 or better with plenty of support for Zee Dana. The way I see it, there wasn't much between he and the glamour horse in the Tatlow and Beau Tindale would have learnt a lot about him since that run.
Money Race(s)
R2 $50 Flexi Trifectas
I'm putting a bit of faith in the first-starter, Mesmeric, here but he is beautifully bred and if he can join Heza Warhorse in the finish here we should make a tidy start to a good punting night.
7,8/ 7,8/ 9 $25 gets 1250%
7,8/ 7,8/ 4 $10 gets 500%
7,8/ 9/ 7,8 $10 gets 500%
7,8/ 4/ 7,8 $5 gets 250%
R4 $60 Flexi First 4
Rather than get finicky here I'm just playing 1 to beat 8 here as they are clearly the best two horses with the best two draws. Beyond that I just pray for value in third and fourth.
1/ 8/ Field/ Field $60 gets 200%
R5 $60 Flexi Trifectas
In an ideal world Zee Dana will hand the lead to Code Black here. if that happens they will run one-two for sure, but if not Born To Rocknroll looks a big chance of splitting them. Either way I'd be shocked if my two top tips didn't finish 1-2 or 1-3 at very worst.
1,5/ 1,5/ 8,10 $30 gets 750%
1,5/ 1,5/ 4,6,7 $12 gets 200%
1,5/ 8,10/ 1,5 $18 gets 450%
R7 $60 Flexi Trifectas
This is another leader/behind leader scenario where Tennaya and Awesome Mattjesty should dominate and very few others can join them on the dais.
1,8/ 1,8/ 3,6,10 $42 gets 700%
1,8/ 3,6,10/ 1,8 $18 gets 300%
Quaddie(s) - $120 Overall
1,5/ 7/ 1,8/ 6,7$56 gets 700%
1,5/ 7/ 1,8/ 1,2,8$42 gets 350%
1,5/ 7/ 6,10/ 6,7$16 gets 200%
1,5/ 7/ 6,10/ 1,2,8$6 gets 50%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices