Blake Redden's Preview for Geelong

Tue, 21 Oct 2014

This looks a rather skinny program but rather than be turned off by that, I'm confident we can play straight and narrow through most of our bets to land some multiple dividends before finishing off with the almighty Octo-Quad.

Track information

Circumference: 960m
Sprint Lane: Yes
Leader's win: 42.86% (24/56 last 6 meetings)
Leading Trainer: Andy Gath (4 winners last 6 meetings)
Leading Driver: Greg Sugars (5 winners last 6meetings)

The Moral

Race 6 - No.10

Roy Hobbs is a richly talented customer who thrashed his rivals first up and should simply be too good again.


Best Bet(s) - $100 All Up Formula 2 + 3 gets 25 units
R4 No.1 - Funny Car$2.2*
Not only can this guy step quickly, he has struck an eminently winnable race and four starts ago he stepped cleanly to lead Lohi Liz and Dual Agent Tabman before going down to that pair narrowly and that is probably the best stand start form in the state.
R6 No.10 - Roy Hobbs$1.4*
Quite simply this guy was considered one of the elite in a 3YO trotting crop that was revered as one of the best in the modern era. That may count for little now but his return to the track was close to breathtaking and provided he stays in gait, this may be his last step on the way back to Group 1 level.
R7 No.1 - Must Be Nice$2.1*
I love the way this fella stormed home when first up at Yarra Valley and given the opportunity to use his early speed, he can kick up probably kick up and hold the lead and from that position, class should be a telling factor in the lane.
Best Roughie(s) - $10 win x $30 place
R8 No.1 - Additallup$17*
This guy was a nice little run first up in the new stable and while we won't be getting overly excited, he should track up right behind the leaders here and when the lane appears, I wouldn't be shocked to see him ripping home for the win. The only real concern we have is that with the scratching, we only get paid to place on first and second.
Money Race(s)
R5 $45 worth of Flexi First Four's
Whisper Jet (7) went like a bomb last start and even from the wide alley she looks one of only two chances along with the well drawn Lems Cameo (1) who grows a leg in front. We will bank on the pair to dominate the first three in a quartet of first fours.
7/1/2,5,9/2,5,9. $18 gets 200%
7/2,5,9/1/2,5,9. $12 gets 133.33%
1/7/2,5,9/2,5,9. $9 gets 100%
1/2,5,9/7/2,5,9. $6 gets 66.67%
OctoQuaddie(s) - $100
7/10/1/1,3,5.$24 gets 800%
7/10/1/4,6,8.$12 gets 400%
7/10/3,4,6,7,8/1,3,5.$15 gets 100%
7/1,3,8,9/1/1,3,5.$12 gets 100%
1/10/1/1,3,5.$15 gets 500%
1/10/1/4,6,8.$9 gets 300%
1/10/3,4,6,7,8/1,3,5.$8 gets 53.33%
1/1,3,8,9/1/1,3,5.$4 gets 33.33%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit to see latest prices