Jason Bonnington's Preview for Tabcorp Park

Fri, 26 Aug 2016

The climax of the 2016 Breeders Crown hasn't been spruiked as a carnival in the same way the Vicbred Super Series was but in every way that matters this is night one of that carnival with 2 Breeders Crown Championships & 2 Graduate Free-For-Alls headlining a card stacked with quality and depth. Much like the Australian Government is attempting to be right now, I'm being fiscally responsible tonight with a smaller outlay Game Plan than usual for Friday given the big dance is only 48 hours away but I am particularly keen on by Best Value Bets running races at monster odds this evening so we may still come away w/ a pretty hefty result.

Track information

Circumference: 1040m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford

The Moral

Race 5 - No. 11 Hectorjayjay

Even I have been reticent to declare one of my favourite horses recently but he is grades above his opposition here & should win regardless of circumstance.


Take On

Race 10 - No. 4 Mach Doro

You don't like knocking horses in this caper but this bloke is very untrustworthy & while he might win tonight you'd be better risking him at a short quote.

Best Bet(s) - $20 Win
R1 No.8 - Destiny Warrior$3.25*
The first 200m will be crucial here but if All Eyes And Ears can hold the front as expected and our fellow lands the coveted trail I'm very confident he would be the one to beat from there.
R2 No.2 - Kotare York$4*
I can be a bit harsh on this bloke at times but with Animated a late scratching I think he can lead and I think he can win.
R4 No.7 - Zhenya$1.85*
She has an unhappy knack of getting beaten y one or two but they are usually high quality horses and I suspect if this girl goes anywhere near her best tonight she will mow down Sammy Charles in the Melton lane.
Best Value - $10 Each Way
R7 No.5 - El Paco$26*
It's taken a while for him to show his best for the new stable but I was a bit taken with his most recent effort when really charging very late after hitting a flat spot in the lane. he has elite gate speed so he should cross to the top here, hand up to Vics Cheval and have every conceivable winning hope from there.
R8 No.1 - Art I Special$16*
I've been quietly following this fellow since his second Aussie start & I honestly believe he's been a victim of bad luck more in 7 local starts than some horses are in a season. I love the draw, I like the horse and I'm very keen to play.
Best Roughie(s) - $10 Place
R6 No.12 - Kimmywho$51*
I'm of the opinion that there are no real stars among the 4YO female squaregaiting sorority so most of these can win with the right luck and it's just silly to have a horse of this girl's talent paying $10 or $12 the drum.
Money Race(s)
R4 $50 Flexi Trifectas
I am very bullish about Zhenya's credentials in a race of this nature but I do concede that Sammy Charles is a talented, professional customer & that The Third Son is also nearing a win.
7/ 1,3/ 1,3 $20 gets 1000%
7/ 1,3/ 2,5,6,8 $20 gets 250%
1,3/ 7/ 1,3 $5 gets 250%
1,3/ 7/ 2,5,6,8 $5 gets 62.5%
Quaddie(s) - $130 EARLY OctoQuad & $90 Quad
11/ 5,8,9/ 7,9/ 1,3,4,6,7,8,11$42 gets 100%
11/ 5,8,9/ 5,8/ 1,3,4,6,7,8,11$14 gets 33.33%
11/ 2,4,6,7,11,12/ 7,9/ 1,3,4,6,7,8,11$28 gets 33.33%
11/ 2,4,6,7,11,12/ 5,8/ 1,3,4,6,7,8,11$6 gets 7.14%
OctoQuaddie(s) - $130 EARLY OctoQuad & $90 Quad
1,3,4,8,10/ 2,6/ 1/ 7$30 gets 300%
1,3,4,8,10/ 2,6/ 2,7/ 7$30 gets 150%
1,3,4,8,10/ 2,6/ 1/ 1,3$20 gets 100%
1,3,4,8,10/ 2,6/ 2,7/ 1,3$20 gets 50%
1,3,4,8,10/ 3,4 / 1/ 7$10 gets 100%
1,3,4,8,10/ 3,4 / 2,7/ 7$10 gets 50%
1,3,4,8,10/ 3,4/ 1/ 1,3$5 gets 25%
1,3,4,8,10/ 3,4 / 2,7/ 1,3$5 gets 12.5%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices