Jason Bonnington's Preview for Tabcorp Park

Sat, 04 Jul 2015

After a night of hotpots rolling in almost unfettered on night one of the Vicbred Super Series carnival things could well be very different this evening with much more competitive and more exciting racing. That doesn't mean there are no Best Bets; I've found 3, but two of them are $3 or better and the other is also in black figures. I've also found 1 Best Value, 1 Best Roughie, 3 Money Races (I could have had 7) and a quartet of pretty enticing Quads. Good luck to all on the punt tonight, but more importantly I hope everyone enjoys the racing as this card is just about as good as harness gets.

Track information

Circumference: 1040m
Sprint Lane: Yes
Leader's win:
Leading Trainer:
Leading Driver:

The Moral

Race 9 - No.1 Berisari

The first 200m will be important but unless something right out of the blue happens this superstar mare is over the line.


Take On

Race 10 - No.10 Composed

There's a great chance that this guy will start favourite tonight and from outside the second line over 1720m he is worth risking for sure.

Best Bet(s) - $30 Win
R3 No.1 - Just Wantano$3.6*
I was amazingly taken with the way this girl ripped home in her semi-final of this series last weekend when breaking 56-secs for her final 800m. She will desperately want to hold the leader's back from gate 1 but if she does that I think she will blouse her higher profile rivals.
R5 No.7 - Lovelist$3.8*
If you accept last weekend's semi-finals on face value then this filly would deserve to start favourite from almost any draw. Add the fact that she's drawn the front line and looks a 70% chance of leading an I think she's big overs at the $3.80 tonight.
R8 No.3 - Brallos Pass$2.4*
Last weekend this guy extricated off a soft trip and almost hunted down his major rival Born To Rocknroll in the dying stages. Tonight' he draws to lead and that key threat will start from outside the second row. I shall say no more.
Best Value - $15 Each Way
R2 No.13 - Ithappenstobeametro$2.8*
Two starts back this mare had the same draw she has tonight and worked around to find the breeze before beating all but Shes A Runa and Gollahman home. This is a much easier race and I think we'll get a significantly better price than the $2.80 I've marked her at in today's Herald Sun.
Best Roughie(s) - $5 Win x $15 Place
R4 No.7 - Major Crocker$19*
There are seven winning chances here but none went better than this bloke last weekend and with his early speed and maturity I reckon he's a great chance of at least filling a hole.
R6 No.7 - Exciteusinthecity$14*
Now that Classy Guy has been scratched there is a massive chance that this bloke will work to the front from his widest front line draw. If that happens, I reckon he'll be incredibly tough to run down if anywhere near his best.
Money Race(s)
R1 $60 Flexi Trifectas
There are two class runners engaged here and either Lets Elope or Keayang Starzzz should win. From there I'm tipping this will be a peg-dominated affair and if it is some value might jump in along the way.
3,9/ 1,3,9/ 1,3,8,9,13 $36 gets 300%
3,9/ 1,3,9/ 6,11 $8 gets 100%
3,9/ 8,13/ 1,3,8,9,13 $12 gets 100%
3,9/ 8,13/ 6,11 $4 gets 50%
R8 $60 Flexi Trifectas
I'm pretty keen on Brallos Pass here but the beauty of this race is that the top four should dominate and we will profit if they do.
3/ 6,8,13/ 6,7,8,11,13 $36 gets 300%
6,13/ 3,6,8,13/ 3,6,7,8,11,13 $24 gets 100%
R9 $60 Flexi First Four
Berisari only needs to lead here and she will be too good. The main hope is that Lucky Metro can follow the favourite through and ass some value to exotics by finishing second or third.
1/ 2,4,8/ 2,4,8,13/ 2,4,5,8,9,13 $60 gets 167%
Quaddie(s) - $130
7/ 5,7,8,9,10/ 5,9/ 3$25 gets 250%
7/ 5,7,8,9,10/ 5,9/ 6,8,13$37.50 gets 125%
4,6,9/ 5,7,8,9,10/ 5,9/ 3$37.50 gets 125%
4,6,9/ 5,7,8,9,10/ 5,9/ 6,8,13$30 gets 33.33%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices