Craig Rail's Preview for Mildura

Tue, 21 Nov 2017

It is a strong C3-C5 event to open the Quaddie on a program of eight races at Mildura. Glenisla has been racing in great form in South Australia and looms as one of the leading chances from barrier two. Her main opposition will stem from La Safron, which is ideally drawn, and from the class runner of the field in Ark. The Zilzie Wines Pace Final is the feature event on the program. It is a strong race with several winning chances. Heats of this series were to be run on the Mildura program last week, which was unfortunately abandoned due to the inclement weather.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 810m, Sprint Lane: No, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Sandra O'Connor, Leading Driver: Emma Hamblin

The Moral

Race 3 - No.3 Juza

She has been racing in great form for trainer Frank Cavallaro and is drawn to go well again.



Best Bet(s) - $25 win
R3 No.3 - Juza$1.5*
She was unlucky at Swan Hill last outing and strikes a suitable assignment here.
Best Value ($10 win, $15 place)
R4 No.1 - Bella Cullen$2.3*
She is an honest mare that will appreciate her best draw for some time.
R5 No.1 - La Safron$4.2*
He is an underrated pacer that should receive every hope from the pole position.
Best Roughie ($5 win, $15 place)
R6 No.7 - Mighty Maxwell$18*
He trails out behind a fast beginner and will receive every chance in the latter changes.
R8 No.5 - Reckless Abandon$9*
She is better than her two efforts since coming from Tasmania would suggest and will be suited to racing against a small field of six runners.
Money Race
R3 $30 Flexi Trifecta
Juza is clearly the horse to beat with limited place hopes.
3/ 1,2,6,7/ 1,2,6,7 $24 gets 200%
1,2,6,7/ 3/ 1,2,6,7 $6 gets 50%
R5 $45 Flexi Trifecta's
La Safron, Glenisla and Ark are clearly the three main hopes.
1,2,9/ 1,2,9/ 1,2,7,9,10 $27 gets 150%
1,2 rovers into 7,9,10 $18 gets 100%
Quaddie ($66 Early Quaddie + $57 Quaddie)
1,2,9/ 1,3,8/ 3,4/ 1,2,6$27 gets 50%
1,2,7,9,10/ 1,2,3,7,8/ 3,4/ field$30 gets 10%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

DNR LOGISTICS 3YO & OLDER PACE

1


EZY RYDER

2


EDWIN BROMAC

7


TANGAROA

9


ITISARTMAN

3


VELOX EQUUS

4


IRONBARK FELLA

5


CORNWALL CLASSIC

6


MAGIC MACH

8


ROLL THE SEVEN

10


WILL AND ANDY

R2

MILDURA WORKING MAN'S CLUB PACE (1ST HEAT)

1


I WANNA ROCKNROLL

2


MIO CHRISTISIMO

3


GOLDEN BAMBI

7


SHAKEHIMREX

4


VALSTREPO

5


YMBRO BUMP

6


PRESLEY CASTLE

9


SWEARENGEN

R3

MILDURA HOLDEN PACE (2ND HEAT)

1


MARKLEIGH CAZ

3


JUZA

7


RONZEL GRINNER

8


JEDI JETT

2


MAJOR LIES

4


OUR TOY DOLL

5


MACEYMIA

6


OUR AMAZING GRACE

R4

PARK DOUGLAS PRINTING PACE

1


BELLA CULLEN

3


IM THE MIGHTY JUDD

7


WAKE UP QUINN

2


WICKED ISLE

4


HEZA REDDY

5


WARATAH BEACH

6


PACIFIC ISLAND

R5

RITCHIE'S STORES PACE

1


LA SAFRON

2


GLENISLA NZ

7


PARISIAN RULER

8


THE REVEREND BLACK

3


MYBOY NIKOLA NZ

4


WELL OILED LOMBO

6


FINEANDSUNNY

9


ARK NZ

10


SHADOW SPAR

R6

ZILZIE WINES PACE FINAL

1


LIFEINHEAVEN

7


MIGHTY MAXWELL

10


JUST SAYING

11


EMIIROMAR

2


SANTANNA JEWEL NZ

3


AUNTY RITA

4


ARTISTIC GEM

5


GOLDEN SCRIBE

6


SHARK ALERT

8


MAJOR JAMANE

R7

TANKARD DENTAL PACE

1


MISSUS APPLEBEE

2


RUBEN HALL

4


DYNAMITE DINGO

3


MARKLEIGH JILL

5


CHARLIE KNEW

6


GUNBALUNYA NZ

7


ESCAPE THE FATE

R8

INTERSPORT MILDURA PACE

1


ANGRIST

2


DID IT ALONE

3


GOOD ONYA

4


RAMBO RAIDER

5


RECKLESS ABANDON

6


TIP TOE CHARLI

BET ALL RACES

Craig Rail Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.EZY RIDER (1), EDWIN BROMAC (2), VELOX EQUUS (3), CORNWALL CLASSIC (5)
Suggested Bet No.EDWIN BROMAC (2) each way$*
OVERVIEW: EZY RIDER (1) disappointed when resuming but considering he finished fifth (13m) in the Home Grown Classic in a sizzling mile of 1.53.8 last season, he appears to be hard to beat. EDWIN BROMAC (2) is resuming since July but he has won two trials recently, the latest in a mile rate of 2.3.9 so a bold showing is expected. VELOX EQUUS (3) showed promise at his initial campaign of racing having been runner up in two of his four starts. He defeated Our Amazing Grace at a recent trial victory and he should be competitive against this line up. CORNWALL CLASSIC (5) (Village Jolt) won several trials at Maryborough before transferring to trainer Murray Jardine. She was runner up at a recent Ouyen trial performance and must be included amongst the winning chances.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 2,3,4

RATINGS: 1/ 2,3/ 4,5?

R2

Selections No.GOLDEN BAMBI (3), MIO CHRISTISIMO (2), VALSTREPO (4), I WANNA ROCKNROLL (1)
Suggested Bet No.GOLDEN BAMBI (3) to win$*
OVERVIEW: GOLDEN BAMBI (3) was aggressively driven from a second row draw when runner up at her only Mildura attempt. She was a convincing runaway winner in a mile of 1.55.8 at Port Pirie last time out and is drawn to go well again. MIO CHRISTISIMO (2) is a brilliant beginner from the mobile and is the likely leader. She was beaten a long way when ninth at Shepparton last outing but she led throughout to win first up and will appreciate a drop back in class for this assignment. VALSTREPO (4) led throughout when she scored at Mildura last outing and is racing at her peak form. She has three of her main rivals drawn on her inside here but she is worth thought again. I WANNA ROCKNROLL (1) has been a little disappointing at her past two attempts in South Australia but she made up many lengths after being checked on the first corner at Mildura prior so she is capable of delivering a forward showing.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (likely leader), 1,3,4

RATINGS: 3/ 2,4/ 1/ 8/ 9

R3

Selections No.JUZA (3), MARKLEIGH CAZ (1), OUR AMAZING GRACE (6), MAJOR LIES (2)
Suggested Bet No.JUZA (3) to win$*
OVERVIEW: JUZA (3) was held up badly for a run and was unlucky at Swan Hill last outing after a brave second at Mildura where she raced on the outside of the leader throughout. She is perfectly drawn and will take beating against this line up. MARKLEIGH CAZ (1) has been racing consistently against similar opposition and rates as an each way chance from her likely position of being behind the leader. OUR AMAZING GRACE (6) can do things wrong on occasions but she has ability when she puts it altogether. She was runner up behind the handy South Australian pacer in Arm A Princess on August 24. MAJOR LIES (2) has been freshened since a second at Mildura in September. She is drawn to gain a nice trail just off the pace so she rates as an each way chance.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (likely leader), 1,2

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 2,6/ 7

R4

Selections No.BELLA CULLEN (1), WARATAH BEACH (5), WAKE UP QUINN (7), IM THE MIGHTY QUINN (3)
Suggested Bet No.BELLA CULLEN (1) to win$*
OVERVIEW: BELLA CULLEN (1) is an honest mare that is much better drawn than her latest seventh at Swan Hill and strikes a suitable assignment here. The key to her chances will be how much pressure IM THE MIGHTY JUDD (3) applies throughout the early and middle stages of the event. WARATAH BEACH (5) raced fiercely throughout and did a big job to hold off her rivals at Mildura on September 05. This race is no harder so she is worth thought again. WAKE UP QUINN (7) couldn’t work into the race at his Mildura debut but considering he is the winner of twelve races competing against the C1 class, he appears to be well graded. IM THE MIGHTY JUDD (3) and HEZA REDDY (4) are both capable of showing up without surprising.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (likely leader), 1,5

RATINGS: 1/ 5/ 3,7/ 4

R5

Selections No.LA SAFRON (1), GLENISLA (2), ARK (9), SHADOW SPAR (10)
Suggested Bet No.LA SAFRON (1) to win$*
OVERVIEW: LA SAFRON (1) gains his best draw for some time and should prove hard to beat under these conditions. A second behind Gotta Go Electobet in a mile rate of 1.55.2 recently is a good form pointer here. GLENISLA (2) is searching for a winning hat trick after victories at Port Pirie in miles of 1.57.0 and 1.57.3. She possesses early speed and is suited to short course racing. ARK (9) has performed a little below his best form at his past two attempts but his previous efforts were strong, including a win over Murranji Track and Let’s Elope, so he is worth another chance. SHADOW SPAR (10) beat ARK (9) to the line at Globe Derby last week but he did receive a much easier run in transit. He is a place chance along with PARISIAN RULER (7).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (likely leader), 1,3,5,6

RATINGS: 1/ 2,9/ 7,10/ 5

R6

Selections No.AUNTY RITA (3), LIFEINHEAVEN (1), MAJOR JAMANE (8), SANTANNA JEWEL (2)
Suggested Bet No.AUNTY RITA (3) each way$*
OVERVIEW: AUNTY RITA (3) is resuming since a Globe Derby victory in June where she recorded a mile of 1.57.5. She defeated Shadow Spar at a recent Mildura trial victory and is a good chance of completing a hat trick. LIFEINHEAVEN (1) led throughout from the pole position on September 05 and she continues to race in good form. She is perfectly drawn over the sprint distance and should give another forward showing. MAJOR JAMANE (8) has performed strongly in his two starts since returning from Tasmania and will win a race at short notice. SANTANNA JEWEL (2) was finishing off nicely despite being in sixth position at Swan Hill last outing. She was placed at her four starts prior and she rates as an each way chance again.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,4,5,6

RATINGS: 3/ 1,8/ 2,4/ 7,10/ 5,6,11

R7

Selections No.DYNAMITE DINGO (4), MARKLEIGH JILL (3), GUNBALUNYA (6), MISSUS APPLEBEE (1)
Suggested Bet No.DYNAMITE DINGO (4) each way$*
OVERVIEW: DYNAMITE DINGO (4) is making her Mildura debut and will appreciate a big drop back in class for this assignment. She is a strong front running mare and will give a bold showing. MARKLEIGH JILL (3) hasn’t had much luck in recent weeks but she has run a few big races. She appears to be well placed against this grade and looms as a value hope. GUNBALUNYA (6) is resuming since July but will be fitter for a recent Maryborough trial second. He places more often than he wins but he has claims for his Mildura debut. MISSUS APPLEBEE (1) and ESCAPE THE FATE (7) are both capable of showing up in this evenly balanced field.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 1,2,5

RATINGS: 4/ 3,6/ 1,7/ 2

R8

Selections No.DID IT ALONE (2), ANGRIST (1), TIP TOE CHARLI (6), GOOD ONYA (3)
Suggested Bet No.DID IT ALONE (2) each way$*
OVERVIEW: DID IT ALONE (2) is a strong campaigner that tried to lead throughout when second behind We Love This City prior to a seventh in track record time at Swan Hill. He will make his presence felt from the ideal draw. ANGRIST (1) raced without cover when a close second behind Gotango two starts back. He ran another good race behind Artistic Gem at his next attempt and he is capable of going one better now. TIP TOE CHARLI (6) is resuming since April but she was in great form when she was last in work and she will be fitter from a recent Ouyen trial fourth. GOOD ONYA (3), RAMBO RAIDER (4) and RECKLESS ABANDON (5) are all worth thought in a small but quality field to end the program.  

EARLY SPEED: 2 (likely leader), 1,3,4

RATINGS: 1,2/ 6/ 3,4/ 5

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