Blake Redden's Preview for Tabcorp Park

Mon, 18 Nov 2019

The trots will be staged at HQ today with eight races for us to deal with. It's not the easiest program on paper but if we stick to a few key bets then i'm confident we can end on the right side of the ledger tonight. In all I've landed on two best bets, and both the Early and Normal Quaddies however we have scaled back the spend slightly.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1040m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford

The Moral

Race 2 - No.5 Off The Radar

This bloke is racing particularly well right now and finds the right race to notch his eighth win.



Best Bet(s) - $35 Win
R2 No.5 - Off The Radar$3.5*
This bloke ran another cracker race on Friday night and in a race with very limited dangers I think he'll be a bit too good for his rivals regardless of how the map unfolds.
R3 No.3 - Mel Durant$2.5*
This trotter was excellent despite the beaten margin at Mount Gambier and if she can zip over to leader early as expected then she'll prove a tough nut to crack in front.
Money Race
R1 $60 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
Fields Of Kyvalley (7) and Myrtle Vale (8) look to have a bit of class on their rivals here which gives us the chance to play trifectas with some confidence.
7/8/2,5,6. $30 gets 1000%
7/2,5,6/8. $15 gets 500%
7/2,5,6/2,5,6. $10 gets 166%
8/7/2,5,6. $5 gets 166%
Quaddie ($20 Flexi Early Quaddie + $40 Flexi Early Quaddie)
4/2/7,9,10,11/1,7.$40 gets 500%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

DNR LOGISTICS TROT

1


FLING IT RAINBOW

4


FLING ABOUT

2


MADENA BAY

3


CHAMP DEVINE

5


MEZIAH

6


DELLSUN

7


FIELDS OF KYVALLEY

8


MYRTLE VALE

R2

EMPIRE STALLIONS PACE

1


ROCKNTINGIRA

3


RIVER PATROL NZ

4


SUMTHIN SPECIAL NZ

2


TWOFORSIXTY

5


OFF THE RADAR

6


WITZEND

7


MACELLI

R3

ALDEBARAN PARK MAIDEN TROT

1


SURBITON PRETENDER

3


MEL DURANT

8


CHAMPAGNE RIVER

11


SAN SEVERO

2


CHU CHITS

4


NORMANDY BELLE

5


FLING IT ALL ABOUT

7


BILLIE BRONSKI

9


YOUNG SON

10


DEE

R4

BRECKON FARMS 3YO MAIDEN PACE

1


MISSBLISSFULLBEACH

6


MISS CRACKER

7


FLYHIGHTANNER

8


CORA MOR

11


BELLA BRONSKI

2


SHADY JESS

3


VAPAR ROCKS

4


PLAYFUL MISS

5


MISTER GLEE

9


CALYPSO MISTRESS

10


KENNYS KILLER

R5

COGS MAIDEN PACE

1


CAESAR MOON

3


IMAGINE ITS ME

8


BULL TERROR

10


DEAL BREAKER

2


FRESCO BROMAC NZ

4


AMERICAN ALLI

5


REALLY MAY

6


HEZ LEO DA VINCI

7


EL BOSTON

9


RUSSIAN AGENT

R6

CELEBRATE NYE @ TABCORP PARK PACE

1


NIGHT PERFORMER

2


VALLA REINE

5


UNDERPLAY

8


STEELY BLUE NZ

9


IRISHMURPHY

3


WECAN JUMP PUDDLES

4


PRIDDY EASY

7


WONDERFORCE

10


DANCE TO THE STARS

11


DYNAMITE DOZER

R7

EVOLVE STONE CLAIMING PACE

2


CISKEI

3


GOODTIME RUSTY

4


BEACH BOY ADIOS

5


TWENTY TWO KARAT

6


HEZATOFF

7


LETS CUT LOOSE NZ

9


SPRINGFIELD TATTOO

8


THE SPARROW HAWK NZ

10


PHIL MONTY NZ

11


DUSTY MARTINI

R8

ALLIED EXPRESS VICBRED PACE

1


BIT OF A DREAM

8


THE WHOLE PACKAGE

9


MISSCHANEL

10


A KERRY MAN

11


MELODYS DAUGHTER

12


CHIEF SAFARI

2


RHYTHM AND GRACE

3


SIX ELEMENTS

4


ROYLANCE

5


VILLAGE SKIPPER

6


HANCOCKS HERO

7


GRACIE CULLEN

BET ALL RACES

Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.FIELDS OF KYVALLEY (7), MYRTLE VALE (8), DELLSUN (6), MEZIAH (5).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 7,8/6,7,8/2,5,6,7,8 for $20 gets 166.66%.$*
OVERVIEW: FIELDS OF KYVALLEY (7) is resuming from a spell but he was competitive against the likes of Our Thunder Buddy and Majestic Player through the winter so in a race of this nature he should be hard to hold out. MYRTLE VALE (8) is showing signs that she’s not that far from her best form so she’s the clear danger on paper. That said, if you’re playing trifectas then DELLSUN (6), and MEZIAH (5) should be at the head of your thoughts however MADENA BAY (2) and FLING ABOUT (4) also go into wider multiples too.                  

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Potential leader) + 1

RATINGS: 7/ 8/ 6/ 5/ 2/ 4/ 3/ 1.

R2

Selections No.OFF THE RADAR (5), RIVER PATROL (3).SUMTHIN SPECIAL (4), MACELLI (7).
Suggested Bet No.OFF THE RADAR (5) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: OFF THE RADAR (5) was forced to do his own work from off speed and wide on the track at Ballarat and there was plenty of merit in that run so based on that, combined with his overall form profile, he looks the hardest to beat and a nice bet today wherever he lands. RIVER PATROL (3) is racing particularly well without luck and while the first 200 metres will be important, he’ll be competitive regardless. SUMTHIN SPECIAL (4) is the other quick beginner and has the talent but she’ll need to improve on her last few to be in the finish. MACELLI (7) is working towards a win but the draw makes it tricky while TWOFORSIXTY (2) also deserves respect for first fours.                  

EARLY SPEED: 3,4 + 1

RATINGS: 5/ 3/ 4/ 7/ 2/ 6/ 1.

R3

Selections No.MEL DURANT (3), CHU CHITS (2), SURBITON PRETENDER (1), YOUNG SON (9).
Suggested Bet No.MEL DURANT (3) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: MEL DURANT (3) made a costly mistake at Mount Gambier but she chased the whole way thereafter and her run really was quite creditable for a 22 start maiden. She returns to a mobile tonight and with her gate speed, if she finds the front early, she’s going to get her chance to break through. CHU CHITS (2) is a promising mare who also remains a maiden but she too is sure to bust through that barrier soon and it could very well be here if one of two things fall her way. SURBITON PRETENDER (1) is going better than the form might read and is the knockout play for Early Quaddies while YOUNG SON (9), DEE (10) and even SAN SEVERO (11) can be considered for wider multiples.                  

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Likely leader) + 1,5?

RATINGS: 3/ 2/ 1/ 9/ 10/ 11/ 7/ 8/ 4/ 5.

R4

Selections No.FLYHIGHTANNER (7), KENNYS KILLER (10), VAPAR ROCKS (3), CALYPSO MISTRESS (9).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 7,10/3,7,10/3,7,9,10 for $20 gets 250%$*
OVERVIEW: FLYHIGHTANNER (7) hasn’t trialled since a less than spectacular debut so while there must be some trepidation heading into today, all signs point to him being a  talented colt who should be a little too good if he’s on his game. KENNYS KILLER (10) similar got knocked off as favourite when making his debut but the winner of that race has gone on to have success since so the form should stand up.  VAPAR ROCKS (3) did enough at the trials and on debut to command respect through Early Quaddies however CALYPSO MISTRESS (9) goes into first fours along with BELLA BRONSKI (11) and PLAYFUL MISS (4).                   

EARLY SPEED: 7 (Potential leader) + 1? 2, 4?

RATINGS: 7/ 10/ 3/ 9/ 11/ 4/ 1/ 8/ 5/ 6.

R5

Selections No.AMERICAN ALLI (4), IMAGINE ITS ME (3), EL BOSTON (7), DEAL BREAKER (10).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 4/3,6,7,9,10/3,6,7,9,10 for $20 gets 100%$*
OVERVIEW: AMERICAN ALLI (4) is tricky to line up after two years away from the races and no trial but his run on debut was excellent and he’s a half-brother to star mare Berisari so he’s going to be incredibly hard to beat here.  IMAGINE ITS ME (3) probably wasn’t at her best in either run before a spell but she’s got ability. The rest are likely place chances at best but it is worth playing wider in trifectas and first fours with the likes of EL BOSTON (7), DEAL BREAKER (10), HEZ LEO DA VINCI (6) and RUSSIAN AGENT (9).                   

EARLY SPEED: 3,4 + 1? 2? 7?

RATINGS: 4/ 3/ 7/ 10/ 6/ 9/ 2/ 5/ 8/ 1.

R6

Selections No.VALLA REINE (2), WONDERFORCE (7), UNDERPLAY (5), DYNAMITE DOZER (11).
Suggested Bet No.VALLA REINE (2) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: VALLA REINE (2) has been around the mark recently and while she hasn’t been able to breakthrough in her last couple of preparation, she does find a suitable race and a handy barrier which should mean she’s in the first couple and fighting out the finish. WONDERFORCE (7) improved first to second-up and in an even race he will play a role at some stage. UNDERPLAY (5) can begin quickly and put herself in a decent spot with DYNAMITE DOZER (11) and DANCE TO THE STARS (10) the next best.                  

EARLY SPEED: 2,5

RATINGS: 2/ 7/ 5/ 11/ 10/ 8/ 3/ 9/ 4/ 1.

R7

Selections No.PHIL MONTY (10), DUSTY MARTINI (11), LETS CUT LOOSE (7), SPRINGFIELD TATTOO (9).
Suggested Bet No.PHIL MONTY (10) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: PHIL MONTY (10) never looked a chance when breezing in a similar race at Kilmore but he’s had three weeks between runs and if he does find his best form then he can turn it around pretty quickly here. DUSTY MARTINI (11) couldn’t have done much more in his past few and while the draw doesn’t help, he’s up to his ears in this. LETS CUT LOOSE (7) is open to improvement second time out in Victoria however this races does run pretty deep with each-way hopes that include SPRINGFIELD TATTOO (9), GOODTIME RUSTY (3), BEACH BOY ADIOS (4) and also HEZATOFF (6).                   

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Likely leader) + 3

RATINGS: 10/ 11/ 7/ 9/ 3/ 4/ 6/ 8/ 2/ 5.

R8

Selections No.GRACIE CULLEN (7), BIT OF A DREAM (1), ROYLANCE (4), HANCOCKS HERO (6).
Suggested Bet No.GRACIE CULLEN (7) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: GRACIE CULLEN (7) won in good time at Ballarat last time and while it’s unclear where she’ll lob in the run today, she’s versatile enough to be driven to tempo here and be a little too good. BIT OF A DREAM (1) is a worth forgiving for last time but her runs two and three starts back combined with the ability to dictate her own fate early make her the clear and obvious threat. ROYLANCE (4) did enough when resuming but this is stronger while HANCOCKS HERO (6) won by a space last time and goes into at least Saver Quaddies with the likes of RHYTHM AND GRACE (2) and THE WHOLE PACKAGE (8).                   

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 4? 7?

RATINGS: 7/ 1/ 4/ 6/ 2/ 8/ 9/ 10/ 12/ 3/ 5/ 11.

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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