Craig Rail's Preview for Ararat

Tue, 19 Sep 2017

The C4-C6 event (Race 6) is the feature race on the program of eight races at Ararat. Truth And Courage will prove hard to beat from the pole position after he broke 27 seconds for the final quarter at his latest victory but Kotare Mahdi produced a career best performance to win in a mile rate of 1.54.9 at Maryborough last week. Christian Jaz hasn't had much luck since returning from Tasmania and Daylight Dan has been in winning form.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 810.9m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Margaret Lee, Leading Driver: Jason Lee

The Moral

Race 6 - No.1 Truth And Courage

He meets a hard field but he produced a brilliant front running display last outing and he will take catching again.



Best Bet(s) - $20 win
R6 No.1 - Truth And Courage$2.1*
He is drawn to lead and should take catching over the short trip.
Best Value ($10 win, $15 place)
R3 No.3 - Champagne Taste$3.5*
She chased home a subsequent winner at her latest second and is capable of going one better now.
R7 No.5 - Okelerho Lad$3.5*
He appeared to be beaten on the home turn but fought on bravely at his latest second so he is worth an investment.
Best Roughie ($5 win, $15 place)
R5 No.8 - Wotchawaitingfor$12*
He follows out behind the likely leader so he should receive every chance via the sprint lane.
Money Race
R5 $56 Daily Double
The legs of the Daily Double appear to be even so there is a chance of a reasonable dividend.
1,6/ 1,6 $20 gets 500%
1,5,6/ 1,6,7 $18 gets 200%
1,5,6/ field $18 gets 100%
Quaddie ($60 Early Quaddie + $66 Quaddie)
1,5,6/ 1,3/ 1,6,7/ 4,5$36 gets 100%
1,3,5,6,8/ 1,3/ field/ 4,5$30 gets 25%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

ARARAT HRC PACE

1


CLASSIC MAKER

8


BLUE REGAL

10


SANTANNA BREEZE

11


THEFLASHOFHISEYE

2


SALUTE THE ACE

3


WHATA CHALLENGE

5


CHARLIESANDMINE

6


OXS COURAGE

7


RADAR HILL

9


OUT OF CHARACTER

R2

ARARAT HRC TROT

1


POCKET OF SUCCESS

3


MISS CULLY

4


CARGERIE

8


DECLAN HENRY

2


PINK OR PURPLE

5


ILLAWONG SUNNY

6


COCONUT SUNRISE

11


MENAMES DABOSS

9


SILICON VALLEY NZ

10


TENSION SEEKER

R3

ARARAT HRC PACE

1


LADY PERSERVERANCE

5


MISSING MARY

8


FOUR STARZZZ CHEF

9


METRO IMAGE

2


AUDAZ BONITA

3


CHAMPAGNE TASTE NZ

4


DEEDEES BRANDIE

6


CONFUSIONANDDELAY

7


ARCHDUKE JOSEPH

R4

ARARAT HRC CLAIMING PACE

1


BURITON BAILEY NZ

3


ANVIL GAV NZ

5


UBRINGTHEDRINKS

6


WITH GUSTO

2


GRINVIL

4


LIUKIN NZ

7


MAJOR LAUGH

8


OUR SIR IVANHOE

R5

VICBRED PLATINUM COUNTRY SERIES C (1ST HEAT)

1


LAGOM

4


TURBO ELLY

8


WOTCHAWAITINGFOR

9


JOHNNY REDCOAT

2


ITHAPPENSINVEGAS

3


ANGRY BEACH

5


SWEET WISE

6


SPIC AND SPARKLED

7


LISANDROS

R6

ARARAT HRC PACE

1


TRUTH AND COURAGE

2


ONE WISE MAN

6


VILLAGE SAFARI

3


KOTARE MAHDI NZ

4


CHRISTIAN JAZ NZ

5


WITZEND

7


DAYLIGHT DAN

R7

ARARAT HRC PACE

1


PUT MBACK

2


SHEEZAWINGATE

5


AINTHATRIGHTMACCA (TR)

3


LIGHTNING POINT

6


HES NOVAK NZ

7


THE BIG SHOW

R8

ARARAT HRC PACE

1


BLUE CHIPPED

2


CRAVING A SMILE

4


LAGERTHA

7


MYSTICAL TILLY

3


WESTERNVIEW JACK

5


OKELERHO LAD

6


RACER NZ

BET ALL RACES

Rob Auber Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.CLASSIC MAKER (1), OUT OF CHARACTER (9), WHATA CHALLENGE (3), RADAR HILL (7)
Suggested Bet No.CLASSIC MAKER (1) to win$*
OVERVIEW: CLASSIC MAKER (1) endured a tough run and recorded a 1.58.4 mile when winning at Ballarat four starts back so he should prove hard to beat from the pole position here. OUT OF CHARACTER (9) took advantage of a good draw to find the lead and held off the challenge of Idrather Rahma at Shepparton last outing. He drops back to a second line draw now but this race is no harder. WHATA CHALLENGE (3) is resuming since January but he will strip fitter from a recent Terang trial victory (2.7.6, 58.8) and is drawn to go well. CHARLIESANDMINE (5) is maintaining a consistent form line and is worth thought along with the recent Cobram victor in RADAR HILL (7).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,6,7

RATINGS: 1,9/ 3/ 5,7/ 6

R2

Selections No.SILICON VALLEY (9), COCONUT SUNRISE (6), PINK OR PURPLE (2), CARGERIE (4)
Suggested Bet No.SILICON VALLEY (9) each way$*
OVERVIEW: SILICON VALLEY (9) is still learning and might not be suited to racing at Ararat but she is potentially the best horse competing in this field. She produced a big performance to win at Ballarat last time. COCONUT SUNRISE (6) is improving with every start and finished off solidly for fourth in a Silver Final of the Breeders Crown then circled the field from last mid-race to win at Geelong. She is widely drawn but warrants respect. PINK OR PURPLE (2) was severely checked shortly after the start and lost all chance at Cranbourne last outing. She accelerated nicely to win at Charlton prior and is worth another chance. CARGERIE (4) was runner up at Geelong two starts back and is worth thought. If the emergency ILLAWONG SUNNY (5) gains a start, she must be considered as one of the leading chances.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 2

RATINGS: 5,9/ 2,6/ 4/ 11

R3

Selections No.CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3), LADY PERSERVERANCE (1), FOUR STARZZZ CHEF (8), ARCHDUKE JOSEPH (7)
Suggested Bet No.CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3) each way$*
OVERVIEW: CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3) began well and ended up being behind the leader when second behind Flyin Circles (won again since) at Terang two starts back so she should be competitive against this line up. LADY PERSERVERANCE (1) was placed in a handy mile rate of 1.59.4 (2200m) at Horsham three starts back and will appreciate her best draw for some time. She should receive every hope and will give a forward showing. FOUR STARZZZ CHEF (8) tried to lead throughout when second behind An Alliance (won again since) at Stawell two starts back. He has the perfect trailing draw behind LADY PERSERVERANCE (1) and is a definite each way threat. ARCHDUKE JOSEPH (7) is a maiden from 69 starts but he is racing in career best form having been placed in three of his past four starts so he cannot be left out of calculations.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (likely leader), 1,2

RATINGS: 1,3/ 8/ 7/ 2,4

R4

Selections No.WITH GUSTO (6), OUR SIR IVANHOE (8), UBRINGTHEDRINKS (5), LIUKIN (4)
Suggested Bet No.WITH GUSTO (6) to win$*
OVERVIEW: WITH GUSTO (6) has won three of his past four starts in claiming races and was completely dominant at Cranbourne last outing so he should prove hard to beat again. OUR SIR IVANHOE (8) competed in a heat of the Battle of the Claimers before taking on the C6 + better class at Ballarat so he will find this race to be more suitable. He does possess the speed to trouble WITH GUSTO (6) if he gains the right luck in running. UBRINGTHEDRINKS (5) finished second behind Saint Flash in the Battle of the Claimers Final where he led out then took cover in a sizzling mile rate of 1.53.2. The rise in distance is a concern but he has the early speed to figure prominently. LIUKIN (4) appeared to have his chance when third behind WITH GUSTO (6) at Cranbourne but he rates as a place chance again.

EARLY SPEED: 5 (likely leader), 3,4,6

RATINGS: 6/ 8/ 5/ 1,3,4

R5

Selections No.LAGOM (1), SPIC AND SPARKLED (6), SWEET WISE (5), ANGRY BEACH (3)
Suggested Bet No.LAGOM (1) each way$*
OVERVIEW: LAGOM (1) pushed forward to lead from barrier four and won comfortably when resuming since February. She is stepping up in class but is drawn to be prominent again. SPIC AND SPARKLED (6) pushed forward from the second line and zipped to the lead mid-race when a creditable fourth at Shepparton last outing. She recorded a slick mile of 1.57.5 when she led throughout prior so she is worth another chance. SWEET WISE (5) is the winner of nine races so she appears to be well placed in this C1 event. She finished powerfully and got up to win at Ballarat three starts back so she is worth thought again. ANGRY BEACH (3) worked to the front in the early stages and held on to win at Stawell two starts back. She may not be able to find the lead here but she is not without a chance.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 5,6/ 3/ 8/ 2,7

R6

Selections No.TRUTH AND COURAGE (1), KOTARE MAHDI (3), CHRISTIAN JAZ (4), WITZEND (5)
Suggested Bet No.TRUTH AND COURAGE (1) to win$*
OVERVIEW: TRUTH AND COURAGE (1) led throughout and recorded a sensational last quarter of 26.7 seconds when he scored at Maryborough last outing so he appears to be hard to beat from the pole position. KOTARE MAHDI (3) delivered his best performance since coming from New Zealand when he worked to the front and dominated his rivals in a mile rate of 1.54.8 at Maryborough last outing. He is not likely to find the lead here but is worth thought again on his latest effort. CHRISTIAN JAZ (4) raced out three wide for the entire trip and endured a tough run at Melton prior to finishing fifth at Cranbourne where he was badly blocked for a run. He is racing much better than his form reads and rates as a value hope. WITZEND (5) should be getting fitter after his two runs back from a break and is a place possibility.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3

RATINGS: 1/ 3/ 4,5/ 7/ 2,6

R7

Selections No.HES NOVAK (6), PUT MBACK (1), THE BIG SHOW (7), LIGHTNING POINT (3)
Suggested Bet No.HES NOVAK (6) to win$*
OVERVIEW: HES NOVAK (6) was placed five times in succession (1 win) prior to a seventh in a strong C2-C3 Final behind the in-form pacer Magical Marn at Melton. He can be one paced at times but he appears to be well graded with the benefit of a concession claim. PUT MBACK (1) gained a nice run throughout when a close up fourth behind Greenough at Cranbourne last outing. He is drawn to obtain a similar trail now and is not without a chance. THE BIG SHOW (7) raced without cover throughout when third at Terang seven days ago. He is poorly drawn again but he is tough enough to figure in the finish. LIGHTNING POINT (3) has claims first up and the trotter AINTHATRIGHTMACCA (5) is not without a chance.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely early leader), 5,6,7

RATINGS: 6/ 1,7/ 3,5/ 2

R8

Selections No.LAGERTHA (4), OKELERHO LAD (5), CRAVING A SMILE (2), WESTERNVIEW JACK (3)
Suggested Bet No.LAGERTHA (4) to win$*
OVERVIEW: LAGERTHA (4)                delivered a career best performance when she rolled along in the lead and recorded a mile of 1.56.5 at Terang last outing. She is meeting a field of similar quality here and should prove hard to beat again. OKELERHO LAD (5) led out and eventually took cover when second behind the top pacer Shadow Sax at Terang last week. He appeared to be beaten on the home turn but showed plenty of fight in the straight on that occasion so he cannot be underestimated. CRAVING A SMILE (2) tends to race best over the sprint distance but is not without a chance from the good draw. WESTERNVIEW JACK (3) is resuming since March but he possesses a good turn of speed and could sprint well when fresh.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 1,2,5

RATINGS: 4/ 5/ 2/ 1,3,6/ 7

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