Jason Bonnington's Preview for Tabcorp Park

Sat, 23 Mar 2019

As is so often the case at Tabcorp Park these days the shorties are too short to punt on this magnificent Melton Plate programme so we are turning our attention to Quads, Value wagers and two Money Races. If Berisari, Cee Cee In America or Reactor Now prevail it's much more likely we'll end up in front which would be particularly pleasing given the fact it's been a few weeks since we struck a serious metropolitan blow!

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1040m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford

The Moral

Race 10 - No. 11 Yankee Lincoln

This bloke is a future metro-class gun tackling a C1 only final. Say no more.



Best Roughie ($10 Win & $20 Place)
R5 No.6 - Motu Gatecrasher$18*
This fellow is seriously underrated and if the Stampede is suiting swoopers as is o often the case then he'll be charging late at odds.
R5 No.9 - Burnaholeinmypocket$14*
The best horse normally goes perilously close to winning The Stampede and this bloke is the best horse. He has also trialed well in preparation for his return to racing.
R8 No.1 - Cee Cee In America$13*
This fellow will be in a little battle early but if he lobs behind the leader he can give some cheek at odds.
R8 No.5 - Reactor Now$5.5*
There is something very exciting about this big boy and it wouldn't shock me if he absolutely owned this strong but not outrageously outstanding Sires Classic field.
Money Race
R6 $90 Flexi Trifectas
Berisari is too good to miss top two here I reckon and the next best runners are fairly easy to identify. It would be a huge boon if we could get one of my old faves Beach Garden into third!
11/ 2,3/ 2,3,8 $40 gets 1000%
11/ 2,3/ 4,5,6,10 $20 gets 500%
2,3/ 11/ 2,3,8 $20 gets 500%
2,3/ 11/ 4,5,6,10 $10 gets 250%
R10 $80 Flexi Trifectas
Yankee Lincoln is an over-the-line job here while Jackierabbit is a clear second pick.
11/ 7/ 4,8 $60 gets 3000%
11/ 4,8/ 7 $20 gets 1000%
Quaddie ($80 EARLY Quads & $180 Quads)
2/ 11/ 4/ 1,3,5,7,8,9$30 gets 500%
2/ 11/ 11/ 1,3,5,7,8,9$15 gets 250%
2/ 2,3,8/ 4/ 1,3,5,7,8,9$45 gets 250%
3,6,9/ 11/ 4/ 1,3,5,7,8,9$45 gets 250%
2,3,6,9/ 2,3,11/ 4,11/ 1,3,5,7,8,9$45 gets 31.25%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

DNR LOGISTICS VICBRED PACE 1720M MS

1


SPINNERS BOY

5


RYLEY MAJOR

6


IDEALSOMEMAGIC

10


ILLAWONG MAESTRO

2


DANMAN

3


ALPE DE HUEZ

4


BLISSFULL STRIDE

7


ROYAL HUSTLER

9


PISTOL ABBEY

R2

TAB MULTIPLIER PACE 2240M MS

1


AMPLE POWER

5


WINGATUI DEW NZ

8


SIXTY

9


FIRENGLOW

2


BERNIE WINKLE NZ

3


BROCKS TERRITORY

6


ROCKNROLL NOAH

7


LOOKOFALEGEND NZ

4


LUCKY LOMBO

10


TOUGH CALL

R3

BUILDERS ACADEMY AUSTRALIA TROTTERS HANDICAP 2240M MS

1


BOLD LAW

2


COLUMBIAS DEEJAY

3


BAD BOY JAY JAY

5


VALLEY ESS JAY

12


SUN OF SONOKO

4


IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ

6


NO REPUBLIC

7


BELTS

10


GENTLEMAN SIR NZ

11


DESERT FLYER

8


NOVEMBER GUY NZ

9


CARNERA

R4

2CONSTRUCT SCOTCH NOTCH MEMORIAL (GROUP 3) 2240M MS

1


JERICHOS TRUMPET

2


VARIANCE

4


MCLOVIN NZ

3


ROCK TONIGHT NZ

5


SAVANNAH JAY JAY

6


KINGDOM COME NZ

7


CLOVER MAC NZ

8


KYVALLEY BARNEY USA

R5

QUEST FOR SUCCESS STAMPEDE 1200M MS

1


VINNY CHASE

2


HIGHERTHANANEAGLE

5


BENICIO

3


BEACH SURGE

4


WARDAN EXPRESS

8


VEE ROCK

6


MOTU GATECRASHER NZ

9


BURNAHOLEINMYPOCKET NZ

R6

ALLIED EXPRESS JODIE'S BABE (GROUP 3) 1720M MS

2


OUR STEP UP NZ

3


SHARE THE ROAD NZ

6


SHE ENVY

8


BEACH GARDEN

4


GOTTA GO DALI QUEEN NZ

5


JUICE BROGDEN NZ

11


BERISARI

9


RECIPROCITY NZ

10


MAKES EVERY SCENTS

R7

CITY OF MELTON PLATE XXX (GROUP 2) 2240M MS

1


MAJESTIC CRUISER

3


WAR DAN

4


DUKE OF WELLINGTON NZ

5


JOE NIEN

6


SOMEBEACHSHADOW

7


SOFALA

9


SAN DOMINO

11


MARAETAI

8


JILLIBY CHEVY

10


RISHI NZ

13


MISTER OHANZEE

R8

VHRSC VICTORIA SIRES CLASSIC (GROUP 3) 2240M MS

1


CEE CEE IN AMERICA

2


TITAN BROMAC NZ

3


WATCH LIST

4


ROSSINI

5


REACTOR NOW

6


MESSERATI

9


BREVITY

7


CRIME WRITER

8


PERFECT MAJOR

R9

ECONOMIX VICBRED TROT 1720M MS

1


LUCINDA MAC

2


AUNTIE POPPY

4


MOONLIGHT DREAM

7


MUSCLETONIAN

3


PARISIAN OPERA

5


FEAR NOT

8


FATOUCHE

10


YANKEE REDBACK

9


ICICLE

11


FLASH KYVALLEY

R10

ATHERSTONE PACE FINAL 2240M MS

1


PIN CODE

5


JULIUSTIGRES

8


TARZALI

11


YANKEE LINCOLN NZ

4


RUNSAFARIRUN

7


JACKIERABBIT

10


ARTCHIEVER CHAPEL NZ

12


REALY UNDER FIRE

BET ALL RACES

Jason Bonnington Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.RYLEY MAJOR (5), PISTOL ABBEY (9), BLISSFULL STRIDE (4), SMART LITTLE SHARD (11)
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta: 5/ 4,9,11/ 1,4,6,9,11 ($30 gets 250%)$*
OVERVIEW: In a recent article published on harness.org Rohan Hillier declared RYLEY MAJOR (5) the best horse he’d handled by a monster margin and considering the cattle he’s worked with over the years, including Ryley’s Mum Shez Ryleymak, that’s a fairly lofty claim and one well worth taking seriously. It’s fair to say that there’d have to be some small doubts about how close the winner of 11 from 16 is after just one run back from an almost three year layoff but at his best he’d toy with these adversaries and as such he’s entitled to start very short odds and win with something in hand. Things get trickier from there for those wanting to make a profit via exotics with perhaps five key runners requiring inclusion through Trifectas though the best of them on talent are gun mare PISTOL ABBEY (9) and the incredibly reliable BLISSFUL STRIDE (4) clear of SMAR LITTLE SHARD (11), SPINNERS BOY (1) and IDEALSOMEMAGIC (6) who should ping to the front and take cover on the favourite after settling down.

EARLY SPEED: 5,6 + 3,4

RATINGS: 5/ 9/ 4/ 11/ 1/ 6/ 2/ 7/ 3/ 10

R2

Selections No.AMPLE POWER (1), SIXTY (8), LOOKOFALEGEND (7), TOUGH CALL (10)
Suggested Bet No.AMPLE POWER (1) To Win$*
OVERVIEW: There’s an old saying about being once bitten, twice shy but this analyst has been bitten to within an inch of his very existence by AMPLE POWER (1) yet once again finds himself declaring the cause of so much pain and heartache here tonight., Playing heavily in the polemarker’s favour is the fact that there are no brilliant beginners draw outside him which should logically lead to the lead being his. Throw in the fact that he’s won six of seven when in front and that he’s the best horse engaged when his mind is on the job and perhaps it’s worth walking into the lion’s den once more. If he bites us on the backside again then the two most likely assassins are SIXTY (8) and LOOKOFALEGEND (7). SIXTY (8) is just a ripper horse who looks beautifully drawn for his racing pattern tonight. Give him a key gig in at least saver Early Quads along with LOOKOFALEGEND (7) who has been racing really at Country Cup level but must overcome a very sticky gate. Next best are TOUGH CALL (10) and LUCKYLOMBO (4) though both will need plenty of fortune if they hope to prevail.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential Leader) + 2,3,4

RATINGS: 1/ 8/ 7/ 10/ 4/ 2/ 9/ 5/ 3/ 7

R3

Selections No.NO REPUBLIC (6), GENTLEMAN SIR (10), ALEPPO MURPHY (13), IMPERIAL WHIZ (4)
Suggested Bet No.NO REPUBLIC (6) & GENTLEMAN SIR (10) Bundle Bet To Win$*
OVERVIEW: NO REPUBLIC (6), GENTLEMAN SIR (10) and ALEPPO MURPHY (13) finished third, second and fifth respectively in a stronger race than this behind Kyvalley Barney three weeks back and they appear to have almost equal top chances in tonight’s event with the major blowout players being IMPERIAL WHIZ (4) and CARNERA (9) though BAD BOY JAY JAY (3) is in career best form and must also be respected along with Andy Gath’s Kiwi import NOVEMBER GUY (8).

EARLY SPEED: 1,3,4,9

RATINGS: 6/ 10/ 13/ 4/ 9/ 8/ 3/ 11/ 7/ 5/ 2/ 1

R4

Selections No.MCLOVIN (4), KYVALLEY BARNEY (9), SAVANNAH JAY JAY (5), VARIANCE (2)
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 2,5,9/ 1,2,3,5,6,9 ($30 gets 200%)$*
OVERVIEW: If you put a line through his uncharacteristic effort in the Oz trotting Grand Prix MCLOVIN (4) has been beastly since emigrating from NZ and after dominating his rivals in last week’s Charlton Trotters Cup this race looks totally at his mercy, particularly given the fact he’s near certain to work on and find the front through the first 400m. Given how short he is we’re virtually forced into exploring exotic options and really you could make case for every other runner to be included somewhere into those exotics but if you want to play a little tricky then target the on-fire KYVALLEY BARNEY (9) to run second or third while also paying big respect to SAVANNAH JAY JAY (5) and also VARIANCE (2) who looks a super chance of finding the front then handing up to the hot-pot fave in transit.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Likely Leader) + 2,5,6

RATINGS: 4/ 9/ 5/ 2/ 3/ 6/ 1/ 7

R5

Selections No.HIGHERTHANANEAGLE (2), BURNAHOLEINMYPOCKET (9), MOTU GATECRASHER (6), BEACH SURGE (3)
Suggested Bet No.HIGHERTHANANEAGLE (2) To Win$*
OVERVIEW: There’s exceptional evidence to suggest that the 2019 renewal of Harness Racing’s richest 1200m race: The Stampede boasts the deepest most competitive field in the history of the event which naturally means almost every runner has a genuine winning chance. In recent years it has been a great advantage to race off the pace in this event and with the early speed engaged here that may well be the case again tonight but if HIGHERTHANANEAGLE (2) can hold a couple of flying starters wide into the first turn here then he’s the one to beat. If a few drivers get a rush of adrenaline coming of the arm then the class runners drawn out wide will be hugely advantaged and there is no runner classier than BURNAHOLEINMYPOCKET (9) who trialled well recently and may do his best impression of Maximan by sitting back and swallowing up his rivals in the lane. As previously mentioned however a case can be made for most of the rest headed by brilliant sit-sprinter MOTU GATECRASHER (6) and BEACH SURGE (3) whose chances would skyrocket should he somehow find the leading role.

EARLY SPEED: 2,3,4 + 1,5,6,9

RATINGS: 2/ 9/ 6/ 3/ 1/ 4/ 8/ 5

R6

Selections No.BERISARI (11), SHARE THE ROAD (3), OUR STEP UP (2), BEACH GARDEN (8)
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta: 2,3,11/ 2,3,11/ 2,3,4,8,10,11 ($30 gets 125%)$*
OVERVIEW: For the umpteenth time in her career to date BERSIARI (11) confirmed what a brave, fearless, powerful beast she is when parking out in fast time and only being beaten by the very smart Cant Refuse first up over 2760m in last week’s Charlton Cup. If tonight’s race was also over a trip then she’d be near impossible to beat but over the sprint journey from an extreme alley she’s more benchmark runner than total lock. That being said there are only two runners likely to upend her in this field. The best of them might be SHARE THE ROAD (3) who has strength to go with speed and may even find the top tonight though OUR STEP UP (2) is also in this up to her ears given she should hold up early and have options after that. If there was to be a blowout it could come from BEACH GARDEN (8) if OUR STEP UP (2) opts to hold the front though MAKES EVERY SCENTS (10) can also rattle ominously when things all go her way.

EARLY SPEED: 2,4 + 5

RATINGS: 11/ 3/ 2/ 8/ 10/ 4/ 6/ 5/ 9/ 7

R7

Selections No.DUKE OF WELLINGTON (4), MARAETAI (11), ALL U NEED IS FAITH (12), JILLIBY CHEVY (8)
Suggested Bet No.DUKE OF WELLINGTON (4) To Win$*
OVERVIEW: The Melton Plate has been a king-making race over many years with an honour roll including the likes of Franco Tiger, Shakamaker and Melpark major and this edition should be no different with three seriously gifted 4YO’s likely dominate their 5YO adversaries. Amazingly, DUKE OF WELLINGTON (4) was opened at $6 for this event but it’s tough to understand why. At just his second Aussie start he arguably went better than both Poster Boy (Chariots of Fire champ) and Spankem (Miracle Mile champ) in the 4YO Bonanza and since then he’s just bashed up on easier opposition. He rocks up here with a much better draw than his major rivals and if he finds the front it’s actually tough to see him getting rolled. The two key threats referenced above are MARAETAI (11) who also went great guns in that 4YO Bonanza then followed that up with an amazing mile win here and a track-record breaking Terang Cup triumph and ALL U NEED IS FAITH (12) who has been flying up in NSW but should not be as short as he is in current fixed odds markets. The race probably ends there with regard to winnign hopes though if everything fell his way JILLIBY CHEVY (8) could also go very close. The likelihood of that happening from the gate eight draw is minimal however given he follows out a slow beginner at the start.

EARLY SPEED: 3,4,6 + 5

RATINGS: 4/ 11/ 12/ 8/ 10/ 7/ 13/ 3/ 1/ 6/ 9/ 5

R8

Selections No.CRIME WRITER (7), CEE CEE IN AMERICA (1), REACTOR NOW (5), PERFECT MAJOR (8)
Suggested Bet No.CEE CEE IN AMERICA (1) & REACTOR NOW (5) Each Way$*
OVERVIEW: This isn’t the strongest Vic Sires Classic of all time but the benefit to that is the fact we have another outstandingly competitive race with up to six or even seven winnign chances. On his form through some of the biggest 3YO races this season CRIME WRITER (7) picks himself on top here though he doesn’t necessarily appeal as a bold, breezing type so you wouldn’t take crazy short odds from the horror draw. Better Each Way betting propositions than him may come in the form of CEE CEE IN AMERICA (1) who was beaten earlier this week but was terrific in his two prior efforts and should love the polemarking draw and REACTOR NOW (5) who won in dominant fashion Tuesday night at Terang and looked like a horse with a very bright future when doing so. If you’re playing Quads also give consideration to Emma Stewart pair PERFECT MAJOR (8) and BREVITY (9) along with WATCH LIST (3) who looks the likely leader and can run a race if left alone in front.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Potential Leader) + 1,2

RATINGS: 7/ 1/ 5/ 8/ 3/ 9/ 6/ 2/ 4

R9

Selections No.MOONLIGHT DREAM (4), PARISIAN OPERA (3), FEAR NOT (5), LUCINDA MAC (1)
Suggested Bet No.MOONLIGHT DREAM (4) To Win$*
OVERVIEW: Another great contest here where between five and eight runners can play a major role headed by MOONLIGHT DREAM (4). The first furlong will be crucial tonight but if she can rip forward and secure the front then look for her to drop anchor and rip home a fast final half despite a below-par effort at feature race level last time out. If things don’t pan out early for our top tip or she doesn’t improve on what she did in the BFS Silver Series Final then the key threats are BFS Bronze series champ PARISIAN OPERA (3) who will also be going forward early along with FEAR NOT (5), LUCINDA MAC (1) and AUNTIE POPPY (2). Smaller claims then go to MUSCLETONIAN (7) who is racing well but doesn’t look ideally suited to the short course trip and  FLASH KYVALLEY (11) who has the talent but makes more mistakes than you’d like to see and is probably worth risking under tonight’s conditions.

EARLY SPEED: 2,3,4

RATINGS: 4/ 3/ 5/ 1/ 2/ 7/ 11/ 8/ 9/ 10

R10

Selections No.YANKEE LINCOLN (11), JIMMY LOCKE (3), JACKIERABBIT (7), TARZALI (8)
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta: 11/ 3,7/ 3,4,7,8 ($30 gets 500%)$*
OVERVIEW: Pound for pound there wouldn’t be an enormous chasm between Duke Of Wellington who we’re tipping in the Melton Plate and his stablemate YANKEE LINCOLN (11) who rocks up in this C1 only final so it would be one of the all-time understatements to suggest that YANKEE LINCOLN (11) should be braining his rivals here tonight. The fight for silver medal honours should be fought out between likely early leader JIMMY LOCKE (3) and the in-form JACKIERABBIT (7) while TARZALI (8) heads a bunch of others that can be staggered up for third and fourth in wider exotic investments.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Likely Early Leader) + 5,6,7

RATINGS: 11/ 3/ 7/ 8/ 4/ 13/ 9/ 5/ 10/ 1/ 12/ 6

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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