Blake Redden's Preview for Geelong

Wed, 17 Jul 2019

Tonight's Geelong meeting is one that has a little something for everyone. We're going to see a number of horses that progress through their classes, some wide open race, some races with warm favourites and everything in between. I've found one best bet across the card to compliment two money races and also both the Early and Normal Quaddie.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 960m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford

The Moral

Race 4 - No.5 Carlas View

This girl is going to improve on whatever she does today but on class she looks a level above this field.



Best Bet(s) - $30 Win
R2 No.9 - Alabamas Invasion$2.2*
I know this bloke is resuming but he hasn't had a long spell and his three runs last time in were all in stronger races than this so if he's anywhere near his best, he looks an excellent betting proposition tonight.
Money Race
R6 $20 Worth Of Flexi First Fours
Bettorockbettoroll (5) is the clear class runner and with the key first four chances all drawn inside her, we can play pretty aggressively to try and jag the dividend.
5/1,2,3/1,2,3/1,2,3. $15 gets 250%
5/1,2,3/1,2,3/6. $5 gets 83.33%
R8 $35 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
Explicit Castle (3) is a pretty nice horse in the making and with Last Walk (1) drawn the pole they provide the perfect chance to get involved in trifectas with limited other place hopes.
3/1/2,6. $20 gets 1000%
3/2,6/1. $10 gets 500%
1/3/2,6. $5 gets 250%
Quaddie ($20 Flexi Early Quaddie + $55 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies)
5,6/5/7/3.$20 gets 1000%
5,6/5/7/1.$10 gets 500%
5,6/5/2,4,5,6/3.$16 gets 200%
5,6/1,2,3/7/3.$9 gets 150%

SPEEDMAPS

R1

DNR LOGISTICS 3YO PACE

1


MUDDY WOBBLES

2


CORNISH SMUGGLER

8


JAY JAY SHADY

3


CAUSING STRIFE

4


CHEDDAR ROAD

5


BALTIC ACE NZ

9


ARTS DASH NZ

6


YANKEE GOLD NZ

7


ILLAWONG JOVIAL

R2

DEVCON PROPERTIES TROT

1


ITS NOT DARK YET

5


MENAMES DABOSS

6


PRIMZ LUCK NZ

8


THE SPANYEN

10


PEEL MY GRAPES

2


MAORI AMOUR

3


ARU AND ME

7


AZTEC INTI NZ

9


ALABAMAS INVASION

11


HIDDEN FIRE

R3

YABBY DAM RACING TROTTERS HANDICAP

1


SONNY BROOKE

2


BACARDI JESS

6


BAD BOY JAY JAY

8


I AM I CRIED

3


OUR QUICK CASH

4


VENTIMIGLIA NZ

5


ARMCHAIR DRIVE

7


SAXON ROSE NZ

R4

FLYING BRICK ORIGINAL CIDER PACE

1


MY CAESARS DELIGHT

2


JILLIBY BEACH GIRL

8


IM JOE LOUIS NZ

3


LOTAKEVI

4


TALEGGIO

6


OSCAR BRAVO

5


CARLAS VIEW

7


HYPERSONIC DRIVE

R5

JIMS MOWING PACE

1


SAFARI CHEER

4


BEACH SKIPPER NZ

8


OFF THE RADAR

2


MAJOR SEA

3


LETS WENT

5


KEAYANG SHEKITOUT

6


STILL OF THE NIGHT NZ

7


FINAL OVER NZ

R6

EGMONT PARK STUD PACE

1


FLY CHEVAL

4


MISS DANGERFIELD

5


BETTOROCKBETTOROLL

2


ASHINCHARGE

3


JULIUSTIGRES

6


SAUCY DREAMS

7


NATS A CHRISTIAN

R7

GPVETS.COM.AU PACE

1


OUR SUMMER WIND NZ

2


THE LONE DANCER

4


WHATS THE CATCH

3


A KERRY MAN

5


ARTISTIC SAINT

6


CELESTIAL TREKKER

7


REGAL CHEVAL

R8

HAPPY 70TH LAURIE HILL VICBRED PACE

1


LAST WALK

2


HAWAIIANBEACH

5


ARE YOU WITH ME

3


EXPLICIT CASTLE

4


HEAVEN ATTRACTS

6


SHADY DANCER

R9

FLYING BRICK BBQ & BAR PACE

1


FRESCO BROMAC NZ

2


FIRE OFFICIAL

3


DEE MACH

4


CREATIVE LAD

5


LETS GO LOHI

6


THE STAGS ROAR NZ

BET ALL RACES

Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

Selections No.ARTS DASH (9), BALTIC ACE (5), CASUING STRIFE (3), YANKEE GOLD (6).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 5,9/3,5,9/3,5,6,9 for $20 gets 250%.$*
OVERVIEW: ARTS DASH (9) comes to Australia after winning on debut and running second at his third start in New Zealand. On face value he is stronger than he is quick so the second-row draw isn’t a major imposition here and while he’s pretty hard to line-up, expect him to be hard to beat. BALTIC ACE (5) didn’t have heaps go his way last time and he was excellent first-up so he’s ready to win and the key danger. CAUSING STRIFE (3) is dropping in grade having taken on Vicbred races at her past few and she’s certainly in the mix for wider Early Quaddies while YANKEE GOLD (6) is the other that can win with the right luck.                    

EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3

RATINGS: 9/ 5/ 3/ 6/ 4/ 8/ 1/ 2/ 7.

R2

Selections No.ALABAMAS INVASION (9), ITS NOT DARK YET (1), AZTEC INTI (7), THE SPANYEN (8).
Suggested Bet No.ALABAMAS INVASION (9) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: ALABAMAS INVASION (9) is first-up from a couple of months off but he was only 10 metres behind Aunti Poppy when he resumed in March and while he’s likely to be better for whatever he does, he does look well places here. ITS NOT DARK YET (1) gets into this race as the emergency and after a narrow second last time, if she can hold a spot early, she’ll be a factor in the race. AZTEC INTI (7) will have his admirers and deservedly so while THE SPANYEN (8) and HIDDEN FIRE (11) look the knockout hopes for value punters.                  

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Likely leader) + 1,2,7?

RATINGS: 9/ 1/ 7/ 8/ 11/ 6/ 5/ 3/ 10/ 2.

R3

Selections No.SAXON ROSE (7), VENTIMIGLIA (4), ARMCHAIR DRIVE (5), SONNY BROOKE (1).
Suggested Bet No.SAXON ROSE (7) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: SAXON ROSE (7) comes through two stronger races after over a year off but she’s on the improve and looks well placed here. The key is for her to step at her best but provided she does, she’ll be in the race at some stage and is the hardest to beat on paper. VENTIMIGLIA (4) was a good winner at big odds two back and followed it up with another sound run last time so she’s capable of being right in the finish again. ARMCHAIR DRIVE (5) has plenty of talent and is working back to his better form while SONNY BROOKE (1) has to be kept safe with the right run and OUR QUICK CASH (3) is the other that goes into wider multiples.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1,2? 3,4

RATINGS: 7/ 4/ 5/ 1/ 3/ 2/ 8/ 6.

R4

Selections No.CARLAS VIEW (5), IM JOE LOUIS (8), HYPERSONIC DRIVE (7), OSCAR BRAVO (6).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 5/6,7,9/6,7,9 for $20 gets 333.33%.$*
OVERVIEW: CARLAS VIEW (5) was still learning through her first preparation but she notched a win at her second start before running second to Nostra Ideal and then competing in a Victoria Oaks heat. Combine that all together and it’s hard to see how they beat her here if she’s near her best. IM JOE LOUIS (8) broke through last time and while this is another test, he’s in the mix while HYPERSONIC DRIVE (7) and OSCAR BRAVO (6) are must include horses for trifectas with TALEGGIO (4) open to improvement if he settles better here.                  

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,4,7?

RATINGS: 5/ 8/ 7/ 6/ 4/ 2/ 3/ 1.

R5

Selections No.STILL OF THE NIGHT (6), KEAYANG SHEKITOUT (5), BEACH SKIPPER (4), MAJOR SEA (2).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Boxed Trifecta 2,4,5,6 for $20 gets 83.33%.$*
OVERVIEW: STILL OF THE NIGHT (6) was well placed to win at Maryborough last time and while this is a step back up, she is third-up from a break and open to further improvement so she gets the nod in a tricky race. KEAYANG SHEKITOUT (5) arguably has the better exposed form and she led for a long way last time. It’s unclear where she’ll land in transit here but she’s one of the class runners. BEACH SKIPPER (4) will come into play if he gets to the pegs early while MAJOR SEA (2) and SAFARI CHEER (1) are the next best.                  

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Potential leader) + 1,5? 6? 7?

RATINGS: 6/ 5/ 4/ 2/ 1/ 8/ 3/ 7.

R6

Selections No.BETTOROCKBETTOROLL (5), FLY CHEVAL (1), JULIUSTIGRES (3), ASINCHARGE (2).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 5/1,2,3/1,2,3,6 for $20 gets 222.22%.$*
OVERVIEW: BETTOROCKBETTOROLL (5) resumes from a break but she won both her races last time in and after finishing second in five of her first six, those two wins would have given her a good confidence boost. She’s clearly not the complete product yet but on the balance of probabilities, she’s worth siding with here.  FLY CHEVAL (1) is better than we saw last time and she draws to fet a soft run in transit but JULIUSTIGRES (3), ASINCHARGE (2) and SAUCY DREAMS (6) are all worth thought if you’re playing saver Quaddies or wider trifectas.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1,3,5

RATINGS: 5/ 1/ 3/ 2/ 6/ 7/ 4.

R7

Selections No.REGAL CHEVAL (7), CELESTIAL TREKKER (6), ARTISTIC SAINT (5), THE LONE DANCER (2).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 6,7/2,5,6,7/2,5,6,7 for $20 gets 166.66%.$*
OVERVIEW: REGAL CHEVAL (7) was run down fairly and squarely in an old C2-3 final last time but he’s had three weeks between runs and was excellent winning his heat so he comes into this race well. CELESTIAL TREKKER (6) didn’t have much go his way last time but he won prior and regardless of whether he runs the gate or comes with one run, he’s a clear winning chance. ARTISTIC SAINT (5) has to be respected but THE LONE DANCER (2) and WHATS THE CATCH (4) are also in the mix for first fours at least.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3,4

RATINGS: 7/ 6/ 5/ 2/ 4/ 1/ 3.

R8

Selections No.EXPLICIT CASTLE (3), LAST WALK (1), SHADY DANCER (6), HAWAIIANBEACH (2).
Suggested Bet No.Flexi Trifecta 3/1,6/1,2,6 for $20 gets 500%.$*
OVERVIEW: EXPLICIT CASTLE (3) ran third in his Vicbred heat behind Im Sir Blake and third in the Silver Series behind Always Fast. This is a good drop in grade and he should be able to get back to the winners list. LAST WALK (1) is drawn to improve but SHADY DANCER (6) will no doubt be running on hard at the end. HAWAIIANBEACH (2) is the other most prominent for trifectas while HEAVEN ATTRACTS (4) is the next best.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 6/ 2/ 4/ 5.

R9

Selections No.CREATIVE LAD (4), DEE MACH (3), FRESCO BROMAC (1), LETS GO LOHI (5).
Suggested Bet No.CREATIVE LAD (4) To Win.$*
OVERVIEW: CREATIVE LAD (4) broke through for his second career win two starts back and he was quite sound behind a progressive horse last week. This is a pretty even sort of race but he does get in well if he can replicate his past couple. DEE MACH (3) is ticking over OK and he’s a winning threat however FRESCO BROMAC (1) gets her chance from the pole with LETS GO LOHI (5) the other that can win.                    

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3? 4? 5

RATINGS: 4/ 3/ 1/ 5/ 2/ 6.

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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