Blake Redden's Preview for Shepparton

Thu, 22 Feb 2018

We are off to Shepparton in the day and it's a marathon 10-race program we have to work through. That gives us the chance to pick the eyes out of the card punting-wise. I've settled on a best bet, two value plays and also both the Early and Normal Quaddie.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: David Aiken, Leading Driver: Josh Aiken


The Moral

Race 2 - No.8 Son Of Mara

Based on the recent trial and the recent QLD form this horse should be too strong today.

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Take On

Race 5 - No.1 Aurore

I did tip this mare on top but at odds-on she looks too short. She's more than capable of winning but she'll need to be at her best.




Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5), TEST OF FAITH (2), SONOFATRUMP (7), JETER (8).
Suggested Bet SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5) To Win.
OVERVIEW: SCOTTISH SARDIUS (5) was a strong last start winner at Swan Hull and all of her recent form has been exemplary so she should put herself right there again. TEST OF FAITH (2) got the job done on Echuca Cup night and he was building to that maiden win so he's capable again. SONOFATRUMP (7) is undoubtedly good enough and he put the writing on the wall last time. JETER (8) is the other clear Early Quaddie player while multiples can include COBBLER CREEK (1) too.  

EARLY SPEED:  2,3,5

RATINGS: 5/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 1/ 3/ 4/ 6.

R2

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Selections SON OF MARA (8), ART PREVAILS (6), MANOEUVER MAN (5), BROTHER RABBIT (4).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 8/4,5,6/4,5,6 for $20 gets 333%.
OVERVIEW: SON OF MARA (8) comes here off the back of some solid QLD form but it is his recent Shepparton trial which is the indicator to say he should be too strong today. ART PREVAILS (6) should improve in an easier grade but there is a group of them that have place hopes including all of MANOEUVER MAN (5), BROTHER RABBIT (4), BUSHI (2) and BUBBLING GYPSY (9).

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 5,7?

RATINGS: 8/ 6/ 5/ 4/ 2/ 9/ 7/ 1/ 3.

R3

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Selections TRUNKEY TASH (4), SHILAH (1), BLACKWHITEANDBLUE (10), TROUBLE LOOMING (6).
Suggested Bet TRUNKEY TASH (4) To Win.
OVERVIEW: TRUNKEY TASH (4) has struck some Derby and Oaks contenders in her past three or four starts but with the handy draw here, she gets her chance to find her best. SHILAH (1) continues to tick over well but the inside barrier could be problematic.  BLACKWHITEANDBLUE (10) is an interesting runner and can win while TROUBLE LOOMING (6). ABROAD (8) and ZEROS SHOUT (7) are next best.

EARLY SPEED:  4 (Potential leader, hand-up?) + 6,7?

RATINGS: 4/ 1/ 10/ 6/ 8/ 7/ 5/ 11/ 9/ 3.

R4

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Selections CALAQUENDI (4), DEL ROSARIO (1), HAYJOSHANDCO (3), LILY LOMBLISS (2).
Suggested Bet CALAQUENDI (4) To Win.
OVERVIEW: CALAQUENDI (4) hit the line well first-up from a break and with that under her belt she can lob just off speed here and be rushing home again. DEL ROSARIO (1) will only need to have taken slight improvement from last time to be in the hunt again here but HAYJOSHANDCO (3), LILY LOMBLISS (2), WANTALINGA DREAM (7) and WINKN NOD (8) can all go into wider Early Quaddies.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,3,4

RATINGS: 4/ 1/ 3/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 5/ 6.

R5

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Selections AURORE (1), RUNFORTHEROSES (2), INDIANA ANGEL (3), SLICE OF LIFE (6).
Suggested Bet Flexi Boxed Trifecta 1,2,3,6 for $20 gets 83.33%.
OVERVIEW: AURORE (1) is a last start winner who finds a similar race and if she can hold her rivals wide early, she’ll have the chance to dictate terms. RUNFORTHEROSES (2) is never far away and should end up in a nice spot while INDIANA ANGEL (3) should bounce off the first-up run. SLICE OF LIFE (6) is the other outside winning chance while LADY SANSA (8) and TAYSPASTIME (4) go into first fours.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (potential leader) + 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 2/ 3/ 6/ 8/ 4/ 5/ 9/ 7.

R6

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Selections DANSBRO (6), LETSROCKLETSROLL (5), LIGHTS AND MUSIC (4), KISSMELVIS (2).
Suggested Bet Flexi Boxed Trifecta 2,4,5,6 for $20 gets 83.33%.
OVERVIEW: DANSBRO (6) didn’t run any sort of special time at his second start but he won like a very nice horse. He’s had a couple of recent trials to ready him for his return and in an even race, he just gets the nod. LETSROCKLETSROLL (5) broke through last time and that form has already stood up well. LIGHTS AND MUSIC (4) will be winning very shortly and it may well be today while KISSMELVIS (2) and CURLIMORE (7) are also likely to be thereabouts.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,5,6?

RATINGS: 6/ 5/ 4/ 2/ 7/ 9/ 8/ 1.

R7

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Selections LAREDO TORPEDO (4), SCOTLYNN JACK (10), RED REIVER GLACIER (2), DANMAN (9).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 4,10/4,10/2,5,7,9 for $20 gets 250%.
OVERVIEW: LAREDO TORPEDO (4) was most impressive at Melton last time and he was only second-up there so with natural improvement he's looms the hardest to beat. SCOTLYNN JACK (10) couldn’t have done much more in three Australian starts and he’s the clearest threat. Value punters can have something each way on RED REIVER GLACIER (2) while trifectas and first fours must respect all of DANMAN (9), MAJOR PATRON (5) and ITS JUST KENNY (7), DANMAN (9).

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Potential leader) + 1,3? 4? 6? 7

RATINGS: 4/ 10/ 2/ 9/ 5/ 7/ 8/ 6/ 3/ 1.

R8

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Selections POW WOW BROMAC (1), NOR NOR WEST (9), MICHAEL JOSEPH (7), THE HIGH ROLLER (6).
Suggested Bet MICHAEL JOSEPH (7) Each Way.
OVERVIEW: POW WOW BROMAC (1) chased home a smart mare in Alessa last time and from the draw he'll have options early an based on anything like his best he looks well suited today. NOR NOR WEST (9) ran a good race resuming behind Rockstar Angel and this is a little easier so he's a Quaddie must along with MICHAEL JOSEPH (7) who draws poorly but didn't have much luck in a bunched finish last time. THE HIGH ROLLER (6) is in the mix for wider trifectas along with all of IT IS A GLACIER (8), ALPE DE HUEZ (5) and ROYAL WITNESS (10).

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Likely leader) + 4? 5

RATINGS: 1/ 9/ 7/ 6/ 8/ 5/ 10/ 3/ 2/ 4.

R9

BET NOW
Selections PRINCE POTTER (1), OZZIE MAJOR (8), VILLAGE OF GOLD (5), OUR CHATEAU LAFITE (6).
Suggested Bet VILLAGE OF GOLD (5) To Place.
OVERVIEW: PRINCE POTTER (1) is almost interesting runner who gets back to the front row here and despite being ODM recently; he has shown early speed in the past. OZZIE MAJOR (8) comes through similar form lines and should get a soft run while VILLAGE OF GOLD (5) is flying under the radar but can go close here with OUR CHATEAU LAFITE (6),  ROYAL WITNESS (10) and TALLY OPERATOR (2) all first four hopes.

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Likely leader) + 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 8/ 5/ 6/ 10/ 3/ 2/ 4/ 9.

R10

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Selections AMELIA HOLMES (1), MORELINER (3), THREEPEAT (11), FAN TAYS YA (5).
Suggested Bet FAN TAYS YA (5) To Place.
OVERVIEW: AMELIA HOLMES (1) handled her heat of this final resuming and with the right draw if she can lob no worse than leaders back then she's capable of winning a very even race. MORELINER (3) comes through the same heat and was right there on the line and she's always consistent. Plenty more can win though with the other heat winner THREEPEAT (11) taking out his qualifier in soft fashion. FAN TAYS YA (5) was running on late and isn't the worst roughie while EXTORTION (7), PRINCESSOFZANZIBAR (2) and AN ALLIANCE (9) are the next best.

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Likely leader) + 1,4,7?

RATINGS: 1/ 3/ 11/ 5/ 7/ 2/ 9/ 10/ 8/ 13/ 4/ 12.

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