Blake Redden's Preview for Ballarat

Thu, 21 Mar 2019

Tonight's Ballarat meeting is a handy one on a couple of fronts. Not only do we have some nice horses stepping out, we've also got nine races to work with and some nice punting propositions to go with it. I've settled on a best bet, a value runner and two money races to flank both an Early and Normal Quaddie which should keep up invested throughout the program.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: No, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford


The Moral

Race 7 - No.4 Kitsilano

This filly is pretty progressive and strikes her right race tonight.

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Take On

Race 4 - No.6 Aleppo Jewel

I have tipped this girl on top but the more I look at it, the harder it is to come into odds-on despite her raw talent.




Best Bet(s) - $35 Win
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R7 No.4 - Kitsilano$2.4*
This girl was a touch stiff when being collared late by She Is The One when she last hopped the border and if she's able to conserve some energy tonight, she'll be really hard to beat.
Best Value - $15 Each Way
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R6 No.8 - Ta Failte Rote$4.5*
This is quite an even race but I thought this bloke fresh-up would be a genuine each-way chance on his best form.
Money Race(s)
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R1 $30 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
We're getting a little creative here by anchoring a better than even money chance in Error (6) but I think that horse should be winning and Rocks Arnt Pets (4) is serious overs at double figures, that gives us a chance to build some trifectas.
6/4/2,3,8,11. $12 gets 300%
6/2,3,8,11/4. $8 gets 200%
4/6/2,3,8,11. $5 gets 125%
6/2,3,8,11/2,3,8,11. $5 gets 41.66%
R5 $30 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
River Patrol (2) should lead and Hezatoff (7) will be hunting the line so we'll work with that pair to run somewhere in the top three and play for a touch of value for the other placing.
2,7/2,7/3,4,8. $18 gets 300%
2,7/3,4,8/2,7. $12 gets 200%
EQ
Early Quaddie(s) - $20 Flexi Early Quaddie + $80 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies
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4,6/1,3,7,8/1,2,3/6,7,8.$20 gets 27.78%
Quaddie(s) - $20 Flexi Early Quaddie + $80 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies
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2,7/4,6,7,8/4/6,7.$32 gets 200%
2,7/4,6,7,8/4/2,3.$16 gets 100%
2,7/4,6,7,8/6,7/6,7.$16 gets 50%
3,4,8/4,6,7,8/4/6,7.$16 gets 66.67%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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