Jason Bonnington's Preview for Cranbourne

Sat, 16 Nov 2019

After some tough recent weeks we struck a legitimate blow at Melton last night securing a $775 profit and setting ourselves up for a decent lash at tonight's Cranbourne tri-codes card. If we're to make a killing tonight we'd really love both Glenledi Boy and Error to salute but the fact we're targeting Best Bets, Best Value Bets, Money Races and Quads means we'll have ample opportunity to bounce back even if one of those two hot-pots get rolled.

Track information

Circumference: 946m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Greg Sugars

The Moral

Race 6 - No. 4 Error

This girl has tackled quality races her whole life thus far and rocks up in a moderate affair on the back of two trial wins. She'll be too good.


Take On

Race 5 - No. 5 Blue Coman

Not much has gone right in this bloke's two Aussie starts to date but he seems under the odds at $1.7 in a race with at least two other proper winning chances.

Best Bet(s) - $70 All-Up (Approx $2.30)
R2 No.4 - Glenledi Boy$1.7*
As a natural sit-sprinter this fellow will need favours at some point in transit but I have a huge opinion of him and believe his awesome speed will be decisive late.
R6 No.4 - Error$1.4*
Go yo the moral section and you'll see all the reasons why I reckon this girl won't be losing first-up here tonight.
Best Value - $15 Each Way
R1 No.9 - Classic Maker$15*
There's no doubt Delightful Jazz looks the horse to beat here should she lead as expected but I have marked the bloke above at $6 and a genuine winning chance so we must take the opportunity to have a spec bet on him at $15 here.
R5 No.7 - Goodtime Pe Rabbit$11*
I can't actually understand how this fellow is $11. His last three have all been good and with two faves that may do something wrong he's a good EW bet even in a field on seven.
Money Race(s)
R4 $60 Flexi First Fours
If Jemstone Glory trails the leader and gets carried to the lane then she's the one to beat but wither way it's a 3-4 horse race and we just want something at crazy odds to finish fourth.
8/ 1,3,4/ 1,3,4/ Field $30 gets 100%
3,4/ 1,3,4,8/ 1,3,4,8/ Field $30 gets 50%
R6 $60 Flexi First Fours
This looks an exceptional betting race given the class disparity between our top tip and next best couple and the class disparity between the next beast couple and the rest is huge. If we nail Illawong Phillipa for fourth we will get paid out.
4/ 1,5/ 1,5/ 3 $30 gets 1500%
4/ 1,5/ 1,5/ 2,7 $30 gets 750%
Quaddie(s) - $100 Quads
3,4,8/ 4,5,6/ 4/ 6$54 gets 600%
3,4,8/ 4,5,6/ 4/ 5$36 gets 400%
1/ 4,5,6/ 4/ 6$6 gets 200%
1/ 4,5,6/ 4/ 5$4 gets 133.33%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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