Blake Redden's Preview for Stawell

Thu, 23 May 2019

Today's Stawell program is arguably the best we've seen in the last week or so. That doesn't always translate to a winning day but it's always nice to head in with a bit of confidence. I've settled on a value bet to round out the day but before that we're working with two money races and also both the Early and Normal Quaddies with a nice stagger.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 810m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Matthew Craven, Leading Driver: Michael Bellman


The Moral

Race 5 - No.2 Luvyoubabe

This mare should lead today and around this track that's a big advantage in a race with just one threat.

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Take On

Race 3 - No.5 Yankee Redback

This mare could well win today but at even money I thought she was priced up to her best.




Best Value - $15 Win x $25 Place)
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R9 No.9 - Bezza $4.4*
There's no point in overthinking this one, I just thought this mare was the class runner of the race and if she can follow through into a handy spot, she should go close at each-way odds.
Money Race(s)
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R1 $30 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
Jaeden (3) was most impressive in his only Kiwi run while Youraremy Sunshine (5) has some strong early season form lines. They are the obvious pair but don't underestimate Fixed Lines (1) as a chance and that's where we'll hope to jag some value.
3/5/1. $11 gets 1100%
5/3/1. $7 gets 700%
3/1/5. $6 gets 600%
5/1/3. $4 gets 400%
1/3,5/3,5. $2 gets 100%
R5 $45 Worth Of Flexi Trifectas
Luvyoubabe (2) should lead and Yankee Lincoln (5) is the other obvious contender so with limited other place hopes, this is the right race to play trifectas.
2/5/1,6. $20 gets 1000%
2/1,6/5. $15 gets 750%
5/2/1,6. $10 gets 500%
EQ
Early Quaddie(s) - $15 Worth Of Flexi Early Quaddies + $80 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies
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3,5/1,4,7/1,5/5.$12 gets 100%
1/1,4,7/1,5/5.$3 gets 50%
Quaddie(s) - $15 Worth Of Flexi Early Quaddies + $80 Worth Of Flexi Normal Quaddies
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2/2/4,5,6,8/2,9.$24 gets 300%
2/2/4,5,6,8/1,3,5,7,10.$20 gets 100%
2/1,4,6,8/4,5,6,8/2,9.$16 gets 100%
5/2/4,5,6,8/2,9.$12 gets 150%
1,6/2/4,5,6,8/2,9.$8 gets 50%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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