Jason Bonnington's Preview for Tabcorp Park

Sat, 14 Sep 2019

We return to Tabcorp Park tonight and it's essentially a card of two halves with perhaps five to six races almost certainly dominated by short priced favourites and the remaining events offering a significant opportunity for genuine value. In the end we have largely avoided declaring those shorties straight out in preference for working them into exotics and instead we've targeted a cavalcade of value options along with some exciting Early Quads.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1040m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford


The Moral

Race 10 - No. 9 Its Beaujolais

There are at least four near certainties tonight but none are better placed than this filly who could easily start $1.3 tonight.

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Take On

Race 8 - No. 7 Everybody Knows

With his poor draw in this strong race I can't understand how this former Kiwi can be fave tonight, let alone at the short quote of $3.20.




Best Bet(s) - $30 Win
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R8 No.3 - Egee Money$4.5*
This girl has won all four races when she's found the front and I'm relatively confident she'll find the front tonight.
Best Value - $15 Each Way)
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R4 No.10 - Village Safari $10*
This girl had some favours but she still easily beat every rival she faces again tonight so it's quite inconceivable that she should be $14 tonight.
R5 No.6 - Tee Cee Bee Macray$16*
If there is serious speed on throughout here then I have no doubt whatsoever the above sit-sprinter can tun home all over the top.
R6 No.3 - Cant Refuse$10*
This fellow isn't the best horse engaged for mine but I do think he'll lead and if they don't pay him the respect he's due then he'll go very close to winning.
Best Roughie(s) - $5 Win & $25
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R3 No.1 - Fear Not$31*
If this girl can hold up behind the leader she's an actual winning hope at $31. Even if she doesn't then $7 the drum seems well over the odds.
Money Race(s)
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R2 $50 Flexi Trifectas
No Apachemee is my clear on-top tip here but it does look a mouth-watering match-race between he and Wingatui Dew while Dynamic Bromac and Hezatoff should fight out the other podium position.
11/ 1/ 8,9 $24 gets 1200%
11/ 1/ 2,5,6,10 $12 gets 300%
11/ 9/ 1 $2 gets 200%
1/ 11/ 8,9 $8 gets 400%
1/ 11/ 2,5,6,10 $4 gets 100%
R9 $50 Flexi Trifectas
If Illawong Mustang leads and hands up to Soho Hamilton then they should finish one-two with the latter horse saluting and the rest should largely take care of itself.
5/ 4/ 8,11 $30 gets 1500%
5/ 8,11/ 4 $10 gets 500%
5/ 4/ 2,6,9 $10 gets 333.33%
R11 $50 Flexi Trifectas
A little bit like the previous Money Race here as we're hoping Image Of Starzzz can lead and then hand up to A Fair Old Dance. If that happens we are sitting pretty.
5/ 4/ 6,8,10 $30 gets 1000%
5/ 6,8,10/ 4 $20 gets 666.67%
EQ
Early Quaddie(s) - $110 EARLY Quads
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2/ 11/ 4,9,10/ 5,8,9,10$36 gets 300%
2/ 1/ 4,9,10/ 5,8,9,10$12 gets 100%
11/ 11/ 4,9,10/ 5,8,9,10$12 gets 100%
2/ 11/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 5,8,9,10$30 gets 150%
2/ 1/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 5,8,9,10$10 gets 50%
11/ 11/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 5,8,9,10$10 gets 50%

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
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