Craig Rail's Preview for Geelong

Fri, 18 Oct 2019

The Ray Beckley Memorial is the feature race on the program of ten races at Geelong and has attracted a strong field of pacers. The class runners appear to be the Andy Gath trained Explicit Castle, which is racing in peak form and the Emma Stewart trained Perfect Major but they won't find it an easy task. Image Of Starzzz is racing well, Chrissy Divinyl has early speed, Majestic Cruiser is dropping back from the Metropolitan class, Bopper Jet has a powerful finishing burst and Onethecrestofawave is not without a chance either. It should be a very competitive event and luck in running may be the key to the result.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 960m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford


The Moral

Race 5 - No.6 Our Millionaire

He had no luck whatsoever from the inside of the second line at Terang and is sure to be driven aggressively from this draw.

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Take On

Race 9 - No.6 Fleetwood Rock

He won nicely on his debut and appears to be promising but the outside of the front line in a small field of six runners may pose some problems.




Craig Rail Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections FOUR LONELY NIGHTS (8), VALLA REINE (1), LUVTOO (3), FIREINTHEHOLE (7)
Suggested Bet Trifecta 1,8/ 1,8/ 3,4,7 (Cost $6)
OVERVIEW: FOUR LONELY NIGHTS (8) has the perfect trailing draw behind the likely leader VALLA REINE (1) and should prove hard to hold out via the sprint lane. He was a brave second at his first run since March then finished strongly at his latest fourth. VALLA REINE (1) is a fast beginner from the mobile and races best when she is able to lead over the sprint distance. She has had a few chances since her latest victory but she has the conditions to suit her here. LUVTOO (3) has been racing against slightly tougher opposition at her most recent appearances and she is capable of improving on her numerical form. She possesses early speed and she should be prominent throughout. UNDERPLAY (4) and FIREINTHEHOLE (7) are both minor place hopes in the event.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 2,3,4

RATINGS: 1,8/ 3/ 4,7

R2

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Selections PHIL MONTY (7), ALL JOKERS TODARIGHT (8), THE SPARROW HAWK (6), CISKEI (5)
Suggested Bet PHIL MONTY (7) to win
OVERVIEW: PHIL MONTY (7) pushed forward to race without cover and proved too strong against the similar claiming class last week. He recorded a mile rate of 1.55.4 and scored by a large margin so he will prove very hard to beat again. ALL JOKERS TODARIGHT (8) is new to the claiming class and he should enjoy these conditions. He appeared to be full of running in restricted room at Stawell last outing and he finished well for third behind Lumineer three starts back so he cannot be underestimated. THE SPARROW HAWK (6) dropped back to the rear of the field from a similar draw and finished off well for third behind PHIL MONTY (7) last week. He should be getting back to his best form after his two runs back from a break and is worth a ticket each way. CISKEI (5) will appreciate a drop back in class for this assignment and he hasn’t had much luck in his two starts back from a spell so he is worth an investment.

EARLY SPEED: 7 (likely leader), 1,3

RATINGS: 7/ 6,8/ 5/ 3

R3

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Selections HIS DREAM LIVES ON (5), SPORTY CULTURE (1), KIEDIS (3), MY COUSIN LENNY (6)
Suggested Bet HIS DREAM LIVE ON (5) each way
OVERVIEW: HIS DREAM LIVES ON (5) possesses a good turn of speed and should be finishing off strongly with the right trail forward. He did well to pick up second behind Soho Nolita three starts back and he didn’t have a great deal of luck at Cranbourne last outing. This is a suitable assignment and he is capable of breaking through for his maiden success. SPORTY CULTURE (1) (Sportswriter) is a first starter, which has had an extensive trial campaign. She scored comfortably at her latest Geelong trial victory and is drawn to give a forward showing. KIEDIS (3) ran his best race since an eye-catching debut fifth at Terang when he finished off well for third at Stawell. He has ability and is worth thought against this line up. CREDON BOY (4) will have benefited from his distant fourth on debut and has claims along with MY COUSIN LENNY (6).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (possible leader), 6

RATINGS: 5/ 1? / 3,6/ 4

R4

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Selections HARRYS FLIGHT (6), GOOD FEELINGS (2), METRO MAN (3), MAGIC CAESAR (1)
Suggested Bet HARRYS FLIGHT (6) to win
OVERVIEW: HARRYS FLIGHT (6) is resuming since July but he will appreciate a substantial drop back in class for this assignment and he did run some big races when he was last in work. He won a Bacchus Marsh trial on the weekend so he will take holding out in the run to the finish. GOOD FEELINGS (2) has been placed four times recently and he usually hits the line strongly. He is drawn to receive every hope and he looms as one of the leading chances. METRO MAN (3) possesses early speed and tried to lead throughout when fourth at Ballarat last outing. He races best over the sprint distance but he is a good chance of leading for a long way against this line up. MAGIC CAESAR (1) tried to lead throughout when fifth at Ballarat last outing. He can sprint to the line quickly with the right trail forward and he is capable of improving on his numerical form from the pole position.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (likely leader), 1,2

RATINGS: 6/ 2,3/ 1/ 5,8

R5

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Selections OUR MILLIONAIRE (6), TA FAILTE ROTE (4), ALLGOOD BABE (5), ITZEXCEPTIONAL (3)
Suggested Bet OUR MILLIONAIRE (6) to win
OVERVIEW: OUR MILLIONAIRE (6) got a long way out of his ground from the inside of the second line and attempted to come around the field in a slick final half of 56.4 seconds when a luckless fourth at Terang. He is drawn out in the open now and is likely to be driven aggressively. He is clearly the class runner of this field. TA FAILTE ROTE (4) led throughout in a handy mile rate of 1.57.4 three starts back and finished a close second after setting the speed at Ballarat last outing. He is drawn to be in a prominent position again and should run his usual honest race. ALLGOOD BABE (5) gained a nice trail and ran over the top of her rivals when a big winner at Melton last outing. She possesses a good turn of speed and is worth thought again. ITZEXCEPTIONAL (3) finished off best to score at Cranbourne prior to a third at Horsham where he set the speed. He is racing in peak form and has claims along with MAHKSMAN (1), which faces a significant drop back in class for this assignment.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely early leader), 1,3,5,6

RATINGS: 6/ 4,5/ 3/ 1,8/ 2

R6

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Selections MONARO MARO (7), ILLAWONG BYRON (10), LUCKYS PAT SON (4), NO REPUBLIC (1)
Suggested Bet ILLAWONG BYRON (10) each way
OVERVIEW: MONARO MARO (7) has been very impressive in her two starts since coming from New Zealand and she should prove hard to beat again. This is a rise in class but she is definitely capable of taking the next step forward. ILLAWONG BYRON (10) was going very nicely at the trials and he didn’t have a great deal of luck in the latter stages when sixth at his first run since February. He boasts a good strike rate and he should be finishing strongly against this class. LUCKY PATS SON (4) is a fast beginner from the standing start and has won several races from behind the tapes recently by leading throughout. He was a shade disappointing last outing but he is worth another chance. NO REPUBLIC (1) is a handy sprinter, which finished second when commencing from the handicap of 40m at his first run since May. He is likely to gain a nice trail just off the speed and should be finding the line strongly. MAGIC OWENS (5) dropped out last outing but he was taking on the Metropolitan class so he has claims in this easier assignment.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 1,2,3,5

RATINGS: 7/ 4,10/ 1/ 5/ 2,8,9

R7

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Selections EXPLICIT CASTLE (3), PERFECT MAJOR (5), IMAGE OF STARZZZ (1), BOPPER JET (10)
Suggested Bet EXPLICIT CASTLE (3) to win
OVERVIEW: EXPLICIT CASTLE (3) continues to race in great form with a handy finishing second against the Metropolitan class followed by a second behind the in-form pacer A Fair Ol Dance where he tried to lead throughout. He is a tough type and should give a bold showing from the good draw. PERFECT MAJOR (5) endured a tough run from the outside of the front line when a brave third behind Yankee Roller in fast time at Kilmore. There are several fast beginners drawn on his inside but he is tough enough to be in the finish. IMAGE OF STARZZZ (1) is stepping up in class on his latest handy performances but he is drawn to receive every chance so he is worth thought again. BOPPER JET (10) is resuming since July but he possesses a powerful finishing burst and rates as a value chance.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (possible leader), 1,2,5

RATINGS: 3/ 1,5/ 10/ 2,6/ 8,9

R8

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Selections MY SWEETCHILLIPHILLY (4), NO CITY CHICK (2), JILLIBY GIZMO (8), MANTHADEE (3)
Suggested Bet MY SWEETCHILLIPHILLY (4) to win
OVERVIEW: MY SWEETCHILLIPHILLY (4) is a brilliant beginner from the mobile and won three races in succession prior to leading and fading into seventh at Melton. She is dropping back to the sprint distance and boasts an impressive strike rate so she will take catching. NO CITY CHICK (2) bounced back to her best form when she was driven very aggressively and scored in handy time at Horsham. She is likely to be driven in a forward manner again. JILLIBY GIZMO (8) led throughout and recorded a mile of 1.56.9 at Terang two starts back. He was gunned down at Horsham last outing but he is capable of adding to his consistent record from the trailing draw. MANTHADEE (3) may have been a little below her best when sixth at Maryborough last outing but she is capable of running fast times over the sprint distance so she is not without a chance.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 2,3,5,7

RATINGS: 4/ 2,3,8/ 5,7

R9

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Selections BRUHAHA (2), FLEETWOOD ROCK (6), KARALTA COURAGE (5), LETS GET SHORTY (3)
Suggested Bet BRUHAHA (2) each way
OVERVIEW: BRUHAHA (2) loomed up to the leaders on the home turn but peaked on his run when sixth at Maryborough last outing. He will appreciate a drop back in class for this assignment and is likely to give a forward showing. FLEETWOOD ROCK (6) gained a nice trail and finished off strongly to win at Cranbourne when on debut. He is not as well drawn but both Esterna (2nd) and Writers Reign (3rd) have performed well since that race so he warrants respect. KARALTA COURAGE (5) has built up a consistent record in Tasmania and strikes a suitable assignment for his Victorian debut. LET’S GET SHORTY (3) (Somebeachsomewhere) is a first starter for trainer Adam Kelly, which has been performing nicely at the trials and must be kept safe.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (possible leader), 1,3? 5

RATINGS: 2/ 6/ 3,5/ 1,4

R10

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Selections KEAYANG IGNITE (2), NO BIGGIE (3), RUM AN ROYAL (6), OUR YANKEE (5)
Suggested Bet KEAYANG IGNITE (2) to win
OVERVIEW: KEAYANG IGNITE (2) (Angus Hall) is a Paddy Lee trained first starter, which finished second behind RUM AN ROYAL (6) at a Geelong trial effort where he went to the line with plenty in reserve. He obviously has ability and is sure to be strongly fancied first up. NO BIGGIE (3) finished third in the same trial after he moved into the death seat in the back straight on the final occasion. He has ability and should give a bold showing first up. RUM AN ROYAL (6) led to win that trial and he starts off the handicap of 30m here. He is better than his numerical form suggests but a place ticket is best under these conditions. OUR YANKEE (5) pushed forward to find the lead and held off DYNAMIC DIESEL (4) (I’m Stately) to win at his latest Maryborough trial performance.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (possible leader), 2,4

RATINGS: 2/ 3/ 6/ 4,5/ 1

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