Robert Auber's Preview for Terang

Sun, 16 Dec 2018

Terang hosts a very strong 9 race card program with good field sizes for a Sunday night. There is only a couple of short price favourites throughout the meeting and punters will face some challenges sorting out some of the main winning chances.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Margaret Lee, Leading Driver: Jason Lee


The Moral

Race 4 - No 8 Master Moonlite

Smart horse resuming and he looks to have a class edge on his rivals.

 BET NOW

Take On

Race 6 - No 6 Luverboy

He's sure to be improved by his debut run but draws wide again and might start under the odds.




Jason Bonnington Tips - All Races

R1

BET NOW
Selections RACKEMUP TIGERPIE (13), WRANGLER (12) POCKET THEDEAL (1), RULE OF THUMB (2)
Suggested Bet RACKEMUP TIGERPIE (13) To Win
OVERVIEW: The opening event on tonight’s epic Inter Dominion programme is the first of four finals and the beauty of heat-into-final affairs is that we’ve got recent reconnaissance on which we can rely. The strongest qualifier for this series was staged at Cranbourne last weekend where RACKEMUP TIGERPIE (13) started from outside the second row, left himself at a tactical disadvantage in transit yet still overwhelmed WRANGLER (12) in the lane. There is a little more traffic to negotiate here but with his combination of speed and strength it would require some very poor fortune for him not to prevail once more. Just as was the case last weekend WRANGLER (12) looms as the hot-pop’s chief stumbling block and the fact that likely early leader RULE OF THUMB (2) and likely trail horse POCKET THE DEAL (1) rate as the other serious players only outlines how dominant RACKEMUP TIGERPIE (13) is likely to be with even fortune this evening.

EARLY SPEED: 2,6 + 1

RATINGS: 13/ 12/ 1/ 2/ 8/ 9/ 11/ 6/ 10/ 3/ 4/ 7

R2

BET NOW
Selections ALEPPO MURPHY (9), PIZZA QUEEN (3), DELTASUN (4), DERRIE AIRE (5)
Suggested Bet DERRIE AIRE (5) 1 x 3
OVERVIEW: Trotting races often bully you into a position where you’re forced to choose between talent and professionalism and this race is no different. If there was a Family Feud questionnaire on which the most gifted animal engaged here then 100 respondents would nominate ALEPPO MURPHY (9). In fact he is so good that the 2019 ID would be squarely on his radar. The issue for punters is whether they’re willing to take the shorts about a horse that trots to the beat of his own drum but if he runs a trouble free race there’s little doubt he will salute. If you’re a risk-taker by nature and you want to pot the fave then PIZZA QUEEN (3) looks a reasonable option as she should find the early advantage though DELTASUN (4) can also win if he finds his mojo tonight. The race doesn’t even end there with DERRIE AIRE (5), ROCK TONIGHT (11) and NO REPUBLIC (2) also worth consideration for those with a deathly fear of missing out on the early Quad.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Potential Early Leader) + 1,2,4,6

RATINGS: 9/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 11/ 2/ 1/ 7/ 13/ 12/ 8/ 6

R3

BET NOW
Selections DANCE CRAZE (13), THE BOSS MAN (8), ENROLLED (4), FATHER CHRISTMAS (1)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 13/ 1,4,6,7,8,12/ 1,4,6,7,8,12 ($30 gets 100%)
OVERVIEW: If she’d chosen to attack this year’s Inter Dominion series it’s no overreaction to suggest that DANCE CRAZE (13) may have started second favourite for the final. Tonight she faces a significant task drawn outside the second row in a full field but her top-end speed is utterly elite and the fact she hasn’t been through the rigours of an ID campaign also plays in her favour so she rates clearly on top despite the obstacles she faces. Life gets much more difficult after finding the likely winner but on pure class THE BOSS MAN (8) looks in this up to his ears given he too would probably have qualified for an ID final berth had he competed through the series. Of those that did contest ID18 the chief players here include ENROLLED (4) who was big on night two of that series, FATHER CHRISTMAS (1) who was luckless night three and fast beginners ILLAWONG ARMSTRONG (7) and FABRICATION (6). The other runner worth considering in a very tricky race is SAVANNAH JAY JAY (12) who is right back to his best form from a couple of years ago.

EARLY SPEED: 6,7 + 2,4

RATINGS: 13/ 8/ 4/ 1/ 7/ 6/ 12/ 2/ 10/ 9/ 5/ 11

R4

BET NOW
Selections BUSTER BRADY (7), LET IT RIDE (9), MOTU GATECRASHER (6), BRALLOS PASS (8)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 9/ 1,3,5,6,8 ($30 gets 600%)
OVERVIEW: It sounds extraordinary to suggest this with the Inter Dominion Final later on the programme but two of the horses in this FFA would be among the 10 most gifted pacers in the land. Those combatants are BUSTER BRADY (7) and LET IT RIDE (9). So often when there are two horses head and shoulders above their adversaries’ barrier draws become more critical than they would otherwise be and that certainly seems true of this race considering BUSTER BRADY (7) appears near certain to bully his way to the front end here while LET IT RIDE (9) is negotiating traffic. For that reason – along with the fact he possesses a certain freak factor – BUSTER BRADY (7) rates clearly on top of LET IT RIDE (9) who may abandon his patented sit-sprint racing style and work up to the breeze here in a bid to stay within striking distance through a sizzling final half. The others aren’t in the same league as that top pair though exotic respect must be paid to last start Country Cup winner MOTU GATECRASHER (6), the talented but slightly out-of-sorts BRALLOS PASS (8) and ID refugee CONVICTION (5) among others.

EARLY SPEED: 7 (Likely Leader) + 2,3,5,6

RATINGS: 7/ 9/ 6/ 8/ 5/ 3/ 1/ 4/ 2

R5

BET NOW
Selections JOES STAR OF MIA (8), ELLMERS IMAGE (1), VILLAGE WITCH (9), MISTER WICKHAM (4)
Suggested Bet JOES STAR OF MIA (8) To Win
OVERVIEW: Assessing tonight’s Inter Dominion Pacing Consolation is no easy task given almost every horse engaged here has been tucked away playing cameo roles through the heat phase of this series. At the end of the day the best way to play this high-level FFA is to stick with horses that have thrived and improved as the ID has progressed and to that end JOES STAR OF MIA (8) looks a clear top pick. He was set a Herculean task on night one of the ID but his efforts at Ballarat and particularly Cranbourne were very good and he was a highly rated player approaching the series as a whole. His pseudo-stablemate ELLMERS IMAGE (1) is another who has improved as the series has progressed as has another NSW visitor in VILLAGE WITCH (9). At a massive quote MISTER WICKHAM (4) is also worth considering as there was genuine merit in his last two performances while MY ALPHA ROCK (5) also goes into Quads if for no other reason than the fact he’s bordering on certain to lead.

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Likely Leader) + 3,6,7?

RATINGS: 8/ 1/ 9/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 3/ 2/ 10/ 7

R6

BET NOW
Selections STAR OF MEMPHIS (11), EGODAN (12), PROFESSOR TOM (6), AMPLE POWER (13)
Suggested Bet PROFESSOR TOM (6) Each Way
OVERVIEW: The Racing Office at Harness Racing Victoria should take a bow for programming this sensational M1 to M2 final right before the Inter Dominion deciders as the quality engaged here and the preferential draw should ensure this is a race of merciless brutality and more action than a Michael Bay blockbuster. Ultimately it appears there are four very serious winning chances here headed up by STAR OF MEMPHIS (11). In a pre-race interview prior to his heat of this series 11 days ago Andy Gath suggested he would need the run and despite that fact STAR OF MEMPHIS (11) worked harder than Winston Churchill in transit and was only nutted on the wire in a brilliant mile rate of 1:55. If he has improved off that run then he gets the nod narrowly clear of EGODAN (12) who has been huge in two Victorian runs this prep and, who, along with STAR OF MEMPHIS (11) will be starting his circumnavigation of this field very soon after the start. The Sleeping Giant in this super final is PROFESSOR TOM (6) who produces an archetypal eye-catcher in his heat of this series and who will love the take-no-prisoners pattern of this affair while AMPLE POWER (13) also has big claims despite appearing to have every chance when beaten last time out.

EARLY SPEED: 1,4,7 + 2,5

RATINGS: 11/ 12/ 6/ 13/ 8/ 10/ 7/ 1/ 2/ 9/ 4/ 5

R7

BET NOW
Selections TORNADO VALLEY (6), SPEEDING SPUR (1), TOUGH MONARCH (9), SAVE OUR PENNYS (3)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 6/ 1,9/ 1,3,9,11 ($30 gets 750%)
OVERVIEW: The first of the night’s genuine majors has been pitted as a Bledisloe battle between nine-time Group 1-winning Kiwi SPEEDING SPUR (1) and expatriate Kiwi-turned-Aussie TORNADO VALLEY (6) which has only gathered momentum courtesy of their respective draws. Plainly put there are only three potential Speed Map scenarios here; either SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads and keeps the front, TORNADO VALLEY (6) crosses at the start or SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads but relents to the pressure from the popular elect. Because of the speed drawn between the two big guns it’s marginally more likely that SPEEDING SPUR (1) will kick through and keep the front with TORNADO VALLEY (6) in the breeze but the simple fact are these; if he does lead TORNADO VALLEY (6) is a genuine $1.10 shot and even if he breezes he’s probably a $1.80 chance so the $1.70 currently up for grabs represents great value for a horse who is much better right here and right now than any of his rivals. If SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads he’s the major threat and if he hands up he’s near certain to finish second so play him with purpose through your exotics and perhaps as a saver through Quads while also paying respect to TOUGH MONARCH (9) who also has blowout claims should the polemarker lead and he holds his back in transit along with SAVE OUR PENNYS (3) who has had a near-perfect if ultimately fruitless ID campaign and KYVALLEY BLUR (11) who possesses all the requisite class but will need the race run at genuine speed to give him his chance to play ambush artist late.

EARLY SPEED: 1,6 + 2,3,4,5,7

RATINGS: 6/ 1/ 9/ 3/ 11/ 5/ 10/ 2/ 13/ 7/ 4/ 12

R8

BET NOW
Selections SAN CARLO (8), SPANKEM (5), TIGER TARA (7), CRUZ BROMAC (9)
Suggested Bet SAN CARLO (8) & TIGER TARA (7) Each Way
OVERVIEW: if you quizzed 20 experts on what will happen in this year’s exceptionally intriguing Inter Dominion Pacing Final and also asked them who would prevail, you’d get 13 different Speed Map scenarios and at least six different winners. The only guarantee is that it will be one of the most keenly contested, intellectually absorbing and wildly unpredictable harness races of the past 10 years. First let’s explore the map. Most pundits agree that GALACTIC STAR (1) can resist all early challenges into the first bend before having the option of keeping the front or handing over to an appropriate rival. It’s this analyst’s contention that given there’s only one horse Ryan Warwick can hand up to who definitely won’t hand up again in TIGER TARA (7) that he’ll wait and resist until that Vic Cup winner sidles up and then give him the top. That would leave SPANKEM (5) and IM PATS DELIGHT (3) in the running line; SAN CARLO (8) three poles and CRUZ BROMAC (9) almost forced to make a mid-race move in search of the breeze. Under that scenario there would be three ‘major’ winning hopes; SPANKEM (5), TIGER TARA (7) and SAN CARLO (8) and given the difficulty in separating them we’ll stick with the horse who we’ve followed throughout in SAN CARLO (8) who looks the only ‘big gun’ runner almost assured of doing zero work in transit. SPANKEM (5) rates second just clear of TIGER TARA (7) with CRUZ BROMAC (9) just below them on the basis of how tough it is to win major races from the breeze these days. IM PATS DELIGHT (3) is also just on that second tier given he’s most likely to get shuffled back early unless he shows previously unseen gate speed at the start. Of the rest GALACTIC STAR (1) also warrants respect but may just lack the absolute class to win an ID final as does OUR UNCLE SAM (10) who has had a phenomenal series and would have rated as winning hope if he’s drawn better on Monday morning.

EARLY SPEED: 1,3,4,5,6,7

RATINGS: 8/ 5/ 7/ 9/ 3/ 1/ 10/ 11/ 2/ 6/ 4/ 3

R9

BET NOW
Selections DELIGHT ME (9), NIKKIBADWAGON (7), GLENFERRIE BLADE (8), MY KIWI LADY (2)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 9/ 7,8/ 1,2,5,7,8 ($40 gets 500%)
OVERVIEW: The only concern with DELIGHT ME (9) here is that she peaked first up from a long break when rating 1:52.3 under similar circumstances to these because if she replicates that effort or even races to 90% of her potential she’ll take off when she likes and brain this lot tonight. If she is below her best – and she shouldn’t be – then class mares NIKKIBADWAGON (7) and GLENFERRIE BLADE (8) rate as her obvious threats clear of MY KIWI LADY (2), CAITLYN CLARKE (5) and the somewhat overrated MY HARMONY BLUE (1).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Early Leader) + 2,5,7

RATINGS: 9/ 7/ 8/ 2/ 5/ 1/ 4/ 6/ 3

R10

BET NOW
Selections ARABELLA STAR (8), TANGOINGWITHSIERRA (1), SOHO NOLITA (10), BEACH BABY NIKKY (4)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 1,8,10/ 1,8,10/ 1,2,3,4,5,8,10 ($30 gets 100%)
OVERVIEW: There at least three genuine stars of the future in this year’s Gold Chalice and given TANGOINGWITHSIERRA (1) should lead and then cop pressure SOHO NOLITA (10) the race could be staged perfectly for blisteringly fast sit-sprinter ARABELLA STAR (8) to blouse them in the lane. For that reason she rates just ahead of the other two with BEACH BABE NIKKY (4) heading a Peloton which also includes the untapped MISS HARTLEY (5) and SINGLE TREE ROAD (2).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential Leader) + 2,3

RATINGS: 8/ 1/ 10/ 4/ 5/ 2/ 3/ 7/ 9

R11

BET NOW
Selections HIGHERTHANANEAGLE (9), SOLID AS A ROCK (7), GOONLY (10), FRANKS VERY MUCH (6)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta: 7,9,10/ 7,9,10/ 1,2,4,6,7,9,10 ($30 gets 100%)
OVERVIEW: HIGHERTHANEAGLE (9) faces a tricky task over the short course from gate nine here but rates on top for talent with his chief threats being SOLID AS A ROCK (7) and GOONLY (10). FRANKS VERY MUCH (6) is also in the mix if Toddy McCarthy can fire him across early as expected.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Fastest Beginner) + 1,2

RATINGS: 9/ 7/ 10/ 6/ 4/ 8/ 2/ 1/ 11/ 3

*Prices are indicative and subject to change. Visit tab.com.au to see latest prices
Stay in control. Gamble responsibly. If Gambling is a problem for you call Gambler’s Help 1800 858 858 or visit Responsible Gambling