Blake Redden's Preview for Ballarat

Thu, 22 Aug 2019

As the trots season starts to come to it's conclusion, we're building up to a stunning crescendo for Breeders Crown weekend kicking off tomorrow night. There is however, opportunity to strike at Bray Raceway to try and build a bank as we arrive on the doorstep of some of the best racing we'll see all year.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: No, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford


The Moral

Race 7 - No.6 Magic Owens

This is a trotter in form and he should be able to cruise forward early and dominate.

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Take On

Race 4 - No.5 Jean Luc

This bloke is the class runner but his draw doesn't look ideal on paper and he's a touch of unders.




Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections HUDSEN (9), A FAIR OL DANCE (4), HECTOR MACRAY (8), MAKE HASTE (1).
Suggested Bet HUDSEN (9) To Win.
OVERVIEW: HUDSEN (9) won with something in hand two back at Cranbourne before he finished close-up when threatening in a good race at Melton last time. The draws means he’ll have options early and while this is no walkover, he does look the one. A FAIR OL DANCE (4) comes through a Breeders Crown heat where it just wasn’t run to suit but he still made ground in a slick last half so he’s the key, and perhaps only, danger.  HECTOR MACRAY (8) will be running on at the end but if you’re playing trifectas then also look to MAKE HASTE (1), HAZELNUTS (5) or even SHARK LUCK (2) to find some value.                  

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Potential leader) + 2 + 1,7?

RATINGS: 9/ 4/ 8/ 1/ 5/ 2/ 6/ 7/ 3.

R2

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Selections DEAL BREAKER (4), MYZARMI (6), MISSUS MATILDA (7), DEE MACH (2)
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 4/6,7/2,6,7 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: DEAL BREAKER (4) did things wrong and clearly wasn’t at his best last time but the debut performance was good and if he can either settle better or find a helmet to follow, he’s capable of turning it around pretty quickly. MYZARMI (6) went down narrowly last time when favourite but this isn’t much harder and he’s likely to be well found by punters. MISSUS MATILDA (7) has done enough at the Maryborough trials to suggest she’s been kept in work as a rising seven-year-old for a reason so keep her safe on debut. DEE MACH (2) didn’t have the clearest passage last time but also didn’t hit the line as expected when clear while HEEZALITTLECAESAR (1) draws to be a factor in first fours.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 2,4? 5?

RATINGS: 4/ 6/ 7/ 2/ 1/ 8/ 5/ 3.

R3

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Selections ALL STAR MAGICIAN (3), WHATAJETSTAR (1), PAINT THE WIND (4), TIME THIEF (6).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 1,3/1,3/4,6 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: ALL STAR MAGICIAN (3) had to work a bit early and stuck on solidly after being claimed early in the lane last time so if he improves off that he has found a winnable race here. WHATAJETSTAR (1) will likely need to hold a forward spot early but if he can then he’s probably the class runner of the race and gets into the race well. PAINT THE WIND (4), TIME THIEF (6) and MACHITELLI (7) are the next best but will probably need some favours to win.                  

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,3,7?

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 4/ 6/ 7/ 5/ 2.

R4

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Selections KATHYS SON (2), READY TO FIRE (8), JEAN LUC (5), GOODTIME RUSTY (4).
Suggested Bet KATHYS SON (2) To Win.
OVERVIEW: KATHYS SON (2) came out of claiming grade to make it two on the bounce when taking a national rating race last time. He’s clearly racing incredibly well and with confidence right now so it’s hard to oppose him tonight. READY TO FIRE (8) was quite unlucky in behind Nostra Villa at massive odds in the Breeders Crown Mares Free For All and her win prior was pretty impressive so don’t count her out of this. JEAN LUC (5) is the other major contender for Quaddie punters however GOODTIME RUSTY (4) and DEEKAYS DOLLAR (7) are also options if you’re looking for a roughie.                  

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,4? 5?

RATINGS: 2/ 8/ 5/ 4/ 7/ 1/ 6/ 3.

R5

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Selections TORRID SAINT (3), A KERRY MAN (1), MOLLYWOOD (7), PADDY MACH (6).
Suggested Bet TORRID SAINT (3) To Win.
OVERVIEW: TORRID SAINT (3) landed in a very nice spot at Melton before following up into the straight and while he took no ground off the winner late, that’s still a pretty good form reference for this race. A KERRY MAN (1) goes best on the pegs so conditions should suit him here and his last run at monster odds was quite good which means he must be respected tonight. MOLLYWOOD (7) is racing too well to leave out of Quaddies while PADDY MACH (6) and GIVE ME THE NIGHT (2) are the next best.                  

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Potential leader) + 1 + 2? 7?

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 7/ 6/ 2/ 5/ 4.

R6

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Selections ALL STARZZZ MEGAN (5), OFF THE RADAR (7), CHIEF SAFARI (3), VILLAGE VOICE (1).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 5,7/3,5,7/1,3,5,7 for $20 gets 250%.
OVERVIEW: ALL STARZZZ MEGAN (5) improved markedly first to second-up and while there are many different speed map permutations here, she should be peaking here and does look the one to beat. OFF THE RADAR (7) has gone around in stronger races at his past two and there’s no knock on either effort so he’s a sneaky chance for each-way punters while CHIEF SAFARI (3) is one of the class runners that can be in the first few in transit and fighting it out late. VILLAGE VOICE (1) and CLEM MCARDLE (2) are both worth thought if you’re attacking the race via first fours or even trifectas.                  

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Potential leader) + 1,3

RATINGS: 5/ 7/ 3/ 1/ 2/ 4/ 6.

R7

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Selections MAGIC OWENS (6), STRAZEELE (4), ARGENTINE TANGO (5), SCOTTISH SARDIUS (3).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 6/4,5/3,4,5 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: MAGIC OWENS (6) has been in rare touch for Ross Creek horseman Norm McVitty in recent weeks having scored at massive odds on Redwood Day before backing that up with a dominant win at Ballarat last time and the return to the mobile start should pose him little concerns in another suitable race. STRAZEELE (4) had to give the abovementioned trotter a start last time but he was sound under the circumstances and isn’t without a winning chance here while ARGENTINE TANGO (5) will need to find her best but will be competitive if she trots. SCOTTISH SARDIUS (3) is the other worth consideration for wider trifectas or even Saver Quaddies.                  

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 2, 3? 6?

RATINGS: 6/ 4/ 5/ 3/ 2/ 1.

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