Craig Rail's Preview for Ararat

Tue, 19 Sep 2017

The C4-C6 event (Race 6) is the feature race on the program of eight races at Ararat. Truth And Courage will prove hard to beat from the pole position after he broke 27 seconds for the final quarter at his latest victory but Kotare Mahdi produced a career best performance to win in a mile rate of 1.54.9 at Maryborough last week. Christian Jaz hasn't had much luck since returning from Tasmania and Daylight Dan has been in winning form.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 810.9m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Margaret Lee, Leading Driver: Jason Lee


The Moral

Race 6 - No.1 Truth And Courage

He meets a hard field but he produced a brilliant front running display last outing and he will take catching again.

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Race 1 - No.9 Out Of Character

He led throughout to win at Shepparton last outing but he drops back to an awkward second row draw here.




Rob Auber Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections CLASSIC MAKER (1), OUT OF CHARACTER (9), WHATA CHALLENGE (3), RADAR HILL (7)
Suggested Bet CLASSIC MAKER (1) to win
OVERVIEW: CLASSIC MAKER (1) endured a tough run and recorded a 1.58.4 mile when winning at Ballarat four starts back so he should prove hard to beat from the pole position here. OUT OF CHARACTER (9) took advantage of a good draw to find the lead and held off the challenge of Idrather Rahma at Shepparton last outing. He drops back to a second line draw now but this race is no harder. WHATA CHALLENGE (3) is resuming since January but he will strip fitter from a recent Terang trial victory (2.7.6, 58.8) and is drawn to go well. CHARLIESANDMINE (5) is maintaining a consistent form line and is worth thought along with the recent Cobram victor in RADAR HILL (7).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,6,7

RATINGS: 1,9/ 3/ 5,7/ 6

R2

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Selections SILICON VALLEY (9), COCONUT SUNRISE (6), PINK OR PURPLE (2), CARGERIE (4)
Suggested Bet SILICON VALLEY (9) each way
OVERVIEW: SILICON VALLEY (9) is still learning and might not be suited to racing at Ararat but she is potentially the best horse competing in this field. She produced a big performance to win at Ballarat last time. COCONUT SUNRISE (6) is improving with every start and finished off solidly for fourth in a Silver Final of the Breeders Crown then circled the field from last mid-race to win at Geelong. She is widely drawn but warrants respect. PINK OR PURPLE (2) was severely checked shortly after the start and lost all chance at Cranbourne last outing. She accelerated nicely to win at Charlton prior and is worth another chance. CARGERIE (4) was runner up at Geelong two starts back and is worth thought. If the emergency ILLAWONG SUNNY (5) gains a start, she must be considered as one of the leading chances.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 2

RATINGS: 5,9/ 2,6/ 4/ 11

R3

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Selections CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3), LADY PERSERVERANCE (1), FOUR STARZZZ CHEF (8), ARCHDUKE JOSEPH (7)
Suggested Bet CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3) each way
OVERVIEW: CHAMPAGNE TASTE (3) began well and ended up being behind the leader when second behind Flyin Circles (won again since) at Terang two starts back so she should be competitive against this line up. LADY PERSERVERANCE (1) was placed in a handy mile rate of 1.59.4 (2200m) at Horsham three starts back and will appreciate her best draw for some time. She should receive every hope and will give a forward showing. FOUR STARZZZ CHEF (8) tried to lead throughout when second behind An Alliance (won again since) at Stawell two starts back. He has the perfect trailing draw behind LADY PERSERVERANCE (1) and is a definite each way threat. ARCHDUKE JOSEPH (7) is a maiden from 69 starts but he is racing in career best form having been placed in three of his past four starts so he cannot be left out of calculations.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (likely leader), 1,2

RATINGS: 1,3/ 8/ 7/ 2,4

R4

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Selections WITH GUSTO (6), OUR SIR IVANHOE (8), UBRINGTHEDRINKS (5), LIUKIN (4)
Suggested Bet WITH GUSTO (6) to win
OVERVIEW: WITH GUSTO (6) has won three of his past four starts in claiming races and was completely dominant at Cranbourne last outing so he should prove hard to beat again. OUR SIR IVANHOE (8) competed in a heat of the Battle of the Claimers before taking on the C6 + better class at Ballarat so he will find this race to be more suitable. He does possess the speed to trouble WITH GUSTO (6) if he gains the right luck in running. UBRINGTHEDRINKS (5) finished second behind Saint Flash in the Battle of the Claimers Final where he led out then took cover in a sizzling mile rate of 1.53.2. The rise in distance is a concern but he has the early speed to figure prominently. LIUKIN (4) appeared to have his chance when third behind WITH GUSTO (6) at Cranbourne but he rates as a place chance again.

EARLY SPEED: 5 (likely leader), 3,4,6

RATINGS: 6/ 8/ 5/ 1,3,4

R5

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Selections LAGOM (1), SPIC AND SPARKLED (6), SWEET WISE (5), ANGRY BEACH (3)
Suggested Bet LAGOM (1) each way
OVERVIEW: LAGOM (1) pushed forward to lead from barrier four and won comfortably when resuming since February. She is stepping up in class but is drawn to be prominent again. SPIC AND SPARKLED (6) pushed forward from the second line and zipped to the lead mid-race when a creditable fourth at Shepparton last outing. She recorded a slick mile of 1.57.5 when she led throughout prior so she is worth another chance. SWEET WISE (5) is the winner of nine races so she appears to be well placed in this C1 event. She finished powerfully and got up to win at Ballarat three starts back so she is worth thought again. ANGRY BEACH (3) worked to the front in the early stages and held on to win at Stawell two starts back. She may not be able to find the lead here but she is not without a chance.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,6

RATINGS: 1/ 5,6/ 3/ 8/ 2,7

R6

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Selections TRUTH AND COURAGE (1), KOTARE MAHDI (3), CHRISTIAN JAZ (4), WITZEND (5)
Suggested Bet TRUTH AND COURAGE (1) to win
OVERVIEW: TRUTH AND COURAGE (1) led throughout and recorded a sensational last quarter of 26.7 seconds when he scored at Maryborough last outing so he appears to be hard to beat from the pole position. KOTARE MAHDI (3) delivered his best performance since coming from New Zealand when he worked to the front and dominated his rivals in a mile rate of 1.54.8 at Maryborough last outing. He is not likely to find the lead here but is worth thought again on his latest effort. CHRISTIAN JAZ (4) raced out three wide for the entire trip and endured a tough run at Melton prior to finishing fifth at Cranbourne where he was badly blocked for a run. He is racing much better than his form reads and rates as a value hope. WITZEND (5) should be getting fitter after his two runs back from a break and is a place possibility.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3

RATINGS: 1/ 3/ 4,5/ 7/ 2,6

R7

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Selections HES NOVAK (6), PUT MBACK (1), THE BIG SHOW (7), LIGHTNING POINT (3)
Suggested Bet HES NOVAK (6) to win
OVERVIEW: HES NOVAK (6) was placed five times in succession (1 win) prior to a seventh in a strong C2-C3 Final behind the in-form pacer Magical Marn at Melton. He can be one paced at times but he appears to be well graded with the benefit of a concession claim. PUT MBACK (1) gained a nice run throughout when a close up fourth behind Greenough at Cranbourne last outing. He is drawn to obtain a similar trail now and is not without a chance. THE BIG SHOW (7) raced without cover throughout when third at Terang seven days ago. He is poorly drawn again but he is tough enough to figure in the finish. LIGHTNING POINT (3) has claims first up and the trotter AINTHATRIGHTMACCA (5) is not without a chance.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely early leader), 5,6,7

RATINGS: 6/ 1,7/ 3,5/ 2

R8

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Selections LAGERTHA (4), OKELERHO LAD (5), CRAVING A SMILE (2), WESTERNVIEW JACK (3)
Suggested Bet LAGERTHA (4) to win
OVERVIEW: LAGERTHA (4)                delivered a career best performance when she rolled along in the lead and recorded a mile of 1.56.5 at Terang last outing. She is meeting a field of similar quality here and should prove hard to beat again. OKELERHO LAD (5) led out and eventually took cover when second behind the top pacer Shadow Sax at Terang last week. He appeared to be beaten on the home turn but showed plenty of fight in the straight on that occasion so he cannot be underestimated. CRAVING A SMILE (2) tends to race best over the sprint distance but is not without a chance from the good draw. WESTERNVIEW JACK (3) is resuming since March but he possesses a good turn of speed and could sprint well when fresh.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely leader), 1,2,5

RATINGS: 4/ 5/ 2/ 1,3,6/ 7

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