Blake Redden's Preview for Horsham

Sun, 22 Apr 2018

We're off to Horsham for their big day and it looks like it's going to be a ripper both on and off the track. In terms of punting we're able to contruct a pretty expansive look at the program which will include two value runners, a roughie, two money races and also a look at both the Early and Normal Quaddies.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 1000m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Matthew Craven, Leading Driver: Jason Lee


The Moral

Race 8 - No.5 Shadow Sax

This fella is just at the peak of his powers right now so he should simply lead and win here.

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Take On

Race 7 - No.3 Regardless

In a field full of talent this bloke is one of them but if he starts near favourite it might be a touch too short.




Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections THE SPIN PROFESSOR (4), IM SIR BLAKE (6), FOOLISH PLEASURE (8), HOLIDAYS (3).
Suggested Bet Flexi Boxed Trifecta 4,6,8 for $20 gets 333%.
OVERVIEW: THE SPIN PROFESSOR (4) has shown nice dash and improvement in his first and second trials at Bendigo and Shepparton so in what looms a really strong juvenile race, he just gets the nod. IM SIR BLAKE (6) got tired in his most recent Maryborough trial over the middle trip but it was still a command performance and he showed terrific speed around Melton prior so keep him safe. FOOLISH PLEASURE (8) hasn’t trialled since late last year but he too looks full of talent while the raced brigade are headed by HOLIDAYS (3), BOSS MAJOR (9) and VALLA REINE (1).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1, 4? 6?

RATINGS: 4/ 6/ 8/ 3/ 9/ 1/ 2/ 5/ 7.

R2

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Selections JULES PEACH (9), FRANCO JOLTO (10), HILLDALE SUNRISE (4), HOT BREAKFAST (5).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 9,10/4,9,10/4,5,9,10 for $20 gets 250%.
OVERVIEW: JULES PEACH (9) comes out of a strong race in the Working Man’s Club Pace at Mildura and her effort there was more than acceptable for this drop in grade. She’s likely be lethal from the front row but even from out the back she looks one of very few winning chances. FRANCO JOLTO (10) may well be the second and only other winning hope so include him in all Early Quaddies. HILLDALE SUNRISE (4) may be able to get involved early and from there he’ll be in the mix late but wider first fours can throw in all of HOT BREAKFAST (5), PRESIDENTIALGRIN (6), HILLDALE UDON (7) and even ROLAMAX (8).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,4,5

RATINGS: 9/ 10/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 7/ 8/ 2/ 1/ 3.

R3

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Selections CHRISKEN KIOSK (4), STAR IN SIGHT (7), COLUMBIAS DEEJAY (11), EOGHAN OMAILLE (2).
Suggested Bet CHRISKEN KIOSK (4) Each Way.
OVERVIEW: CHRISKEN KIOSK (4) has been racing particularly well of recent times and while he is off a tough mark today, he will put himself into the race at some stage. STAR IN SIGHT (7) did a terrific job last time when making an early break and she is improving all the time so she’s the clear and present threat. COLUMBIAS DEEJAY (11) is as honest as the day is long while EOGHAN OMAILLE (2), ARRESTED (5) and JETER (10) are the next best.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,4,7

RATINGS: 4/ 7/ 11/ 2/ 5/ 10/ 6/ 9/ 8/ 3/ 1.

R4

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Selections SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (9), SHANIA BLACK (11), ROMANTIC GESUTRE (6), SANTANNA BREEZE (2).
Suggested Bet SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (9) To Win.
OVERVIEW: SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (9) didn’t have much luck behind Lets Save The Day last time out and this looks an easier race so if he can replicate that sort of run then he’ll be hard to hold out. SHANIA BLACK (11) brings in similar form lines and she rarely runs a back race. ROMANTIC GESUTRE (6) has had just two runs back from a long layoff so expect him to improve again while SANTANNA BREEZE (2), SAMARA CASH (3) and CAESARS ASTRUM (10) all have some sort of chance with the right luck.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Potential leader) + 1,2,4

RATINGS: 9/ 11/ 6/ 2/ 3/ 10/ 8/ 1/ 4/ 7/ 12.

R5

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Selections CRUZ (3), KASBAH KID (7), ALWAYS ON (6), TURING EXPRESS (4).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 3,7/3,7/4,6 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: CRUZ (3) all but finished with the chasing group last time out when Shez All Rock won by panels and if he can find the pegs tonight, he’s likely one of only two winning chances. KASBAH KID (7) chased Poster Boy in an unsuitable race last time but he did a job to hold third and this is an obvious drop in class. ALWAYS ON (6) is hard to line-up but getting better all the time while TURING EXPRESS (4) and DOT THE EYE (5) round out the first four threats.

EARLY SPEED: 3 (Likely leader) + 1,2,4

RATINGS: 3/ 7/ 6/ 4/ 5/ 2/ 1.

R6

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Selections FATHER CHRISTMAS (6), KING DENNY (7), REGAL PEPPERELL (8), BELTS (2).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 6/7,8/2,7,8 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: FATHER CHRISTMAS (6) all but held off Tornado Valley at Melton and there is no better trotting formlines in Australia right now. Provided he steps, he’ll put himself into the race at some stage and be hard to beat. KING DENNY (7) hasn’t shown his best on Aussie soil in two runs but he has opened a silly price with TAB fixed odds so watch for him if he finds his best.  REGAL PEPPERELL (8) is a more than capable mare so she’s a Quaddies must too while BELTS (2), AL BUNDY (1) and MARVELLOUS MAX (4) are the next best.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Potential leader)+ 1,2,3

RATINGS: 6/ 7/ 8/ 2/ 1/ 4/ 5/ 9/ 3.

R7

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Selections LETS SAVE THE DAY (5), BEE GEES BANDIT (7), MISTERFREEZE (10), PLATINUM POWER (1).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 5,7/1,5,7,10/1,5,7,10 for $20 gets 167%.
OVERVIEW: LETS SAVE THE DAY (5) has split a pair of wins with an obvious forgive effort this campaign and despite being lightly raced he has promised for a little while to race through his classes. BEE GEES BANDIT (7) got into a war two back but still ran a bottler and then he made it 14 wins from 31 starts at Hamilton so he knows where the post is. MISTERFREEZE (10) has the turn of foot to get involved if there is some early speed while PLATINUM POWER (1), REGARDLESS (3) and VASARI (6) are all Saver Quaddie options.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 3,7

RATINGS: 5/ 7/ 10/ 1/ 3/ 6/ 8/ 9/ 4/ 2.

R8

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Selections SHADOW SAX (5), MESSINI (7), BERISARI (4), KOTARE ROLAND (2).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 5/4,7/2,4,7 for $20 gets 500%.
OVERVIEW: SHADOW SAX (5) is undoubtedly Grand Circuit material in the form he is in right now. His Melton Plate win was breathtaking and it’s hard to see any horse in this field wanting to park him so he should simply lead and win. MESSINI (7) will be better suited around this track over the staying trip so he deserves to be favoured for the silver medal spot. BERISARI (4) is a top quality mare who is at her best right now while KOTARE ROLAND (2) is racing well and LETS STRIKE THE GOLD (1) creates interest for the minor money.

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Likely leader) + 1,2,4

RATINGS: 5/ 7/ 4/ 2/ 1/ 3/ 6.

R9

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Selections MOTU RAMPAGE (6), IAM ERIK (1), GOALKICKER (10), THATS PERFECT (2).
Suggested Bet MOTU RAMPAGE (6) Each Way.
OVERVIEW: MOTU RAMPAGE (6) put the writing on the wall with a cheeky run in the Mildura Guineas and despite this being an incredibly tough race with converging formlines, he is ready to win again. IAM ERIK (1) was most unlucky first time out in Victoria and if he lands no worse than leaders back then he won’t miss a place at worst. GOALKICKER (10) bolted in last time and has x-factor while THATS PERFECT (2) has to be respected if he leads. GRINNING ASSASSIN (8) can’t be denied after the debut win while MADAZALWAYS (7) is just one of a number of others that has place claims.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,6,7

RATINGS: 6/ 1/ 10/ 2/ 8/ 7/ 4/ 9/ 5/ 3/ 11.

R10

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Selections IMA SHOWGIRL (6), CRUISYLILY (2), MISS DANGERFIELD (9), MAJOR POWERS (4).
Suggested Bet CRUISYLILY (2) Each Way.
OVERVIEW: IMA SHOWGIRL (6) went through the Snowball Series last prep before taking on an easier C0 subsequently and cruising home. She’ll no doubt be better for this but she can overcome the wide draw today. CRUISYLILY (2) looked pretty good in her only trial to date at Maryborough and if she finds the pegs she’ll give some cheek. MISS DANGERFIELD (9) has a class factor but wider trifectas can include MAJOR POWERS (4), ASPUREASDRIVENSNOW (7) and also ABBEYDALE ROAD (10).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader?) + 1,4,6

RATINGS: 6/ 2/ 9/ 4/ 7/ 10/ 8/ 11/ 3/ 1.

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