Blake Redden's Preview for Geelong

Wed, 16 Jan 2019

Tonight's trots meeting is coming out of Beckley Park Geelong and we've got a tight and compact six-race card. It's fair to say it's a tricky punting card but I've settled on a best bet at better than even money and a money race which we will be relying on all horses to trot. In terms of the Quaddies, we're not getting too creative with just one combination for each and given the crossover, we'll be relying on a few things to go right.

Track information

TOP 5
Circumference: 960m, Sprint Lane: Yes, Leader's win: , Leading Trainer: Emma Stewart, Leading Driver: Chris Alford


The Moral

Race 4 - No.6 Shelby Bromac

After his last start Kiwi win, this bloke should be very hard to beat tonight.

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Take On

Race 3 - No.6 Braeview Bondi

This fella is no doubt the class runner but odds-on looks a fraction short so we'll be playing wider in Quaddies.




Blake Redden Tips - All Races

R1

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Selections OZZIE BATTLER (3), DOCTOR FOX (1), LONG WEEKEND (2), YOUAREMY SUNSHINE (6).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 3/1,2/1,2,4,6 for $20 gets 333%.
OVERVIEW: OZZIE BATTLER (3) is exquisitely bred by Sunshine Beach out of a Victorian Oaks heat winner Miss Laura Jane. He trialled against a number of three-year-old’s at Bendigo recently and despite having a soft trip, he got home very impressively via the sprint-lane in numbers that are bordering on spectacular for an early season two-year-old. DOCTOR FOX (1) is a largely unknown commodity given we don’t have access to Terang trial vision but the numbers look solid and he is from the same family as Bonus Play so keep him safe on debut. LONG WEEKEND (2) finished powerfully in a recent Melton trial and is in contention but so are the stablemates with race experience headed by YOUAREMY SUNSHINE (6).

EARLY SPEED: 1? 2? 3?

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 2/ 6/ 4/ 7/ 8/ 5.

R2

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Selections DREAM PLAYGIRL (2), LEICA BUDDY (3), DANCE TO THE STARS (6), SHADOWS DELIGHT (4).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 2,3/2,3,6/2,3,4,5,6 for $20 gets 167%.
OVERVIEW: DREAM PLAYGIRL (2) set herself up for this preparation with a terrific and narrow second at Warragul resuming. She is well-bred being out of Pacific Playgirl and with natural improvement she looks the hardest to beat here. LEICA BUDDY (3) is hard to line-up on debut but the trial numbers look good and if there is market support then it’s worth keeping in mind. DANCE TO THE STARS (6) will likely rely on luck but in the small field she’s by no means out of it totally. SHADOWS DELIGHT (4) and BAD BOY SHADOW (5) are also capable so throw them into wider trifectas.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,3?

RATINGS: 2/ 3/ 6/ 4/ 5/ 1.

R3

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Selections FRANCO REBEL (5), BRAEVIEW BONDI (6), BLISSFULL STRIDE (7), ILLAWONG LIVELY (1).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 5,6/5,6,7/1,2,5,6,7,8 for $20 gets 125%
OVERVIEW: FRANCO REBEL (5) was never in the race resuming then got fired up and was too bad to be true at Elmore. If you put that to one side and consider his better form last preparation combined with the fact that he may well lead tonight, he becomes a handy each-way option in a race of limited chances. BRAEVIEW BONDI (6) is a likely and deserved favourite given his three runs this campaign in stronger races so he goes into all Quaddies for sure. BLISSFULL STRIDE (7) is the other big gun but hasn’t been given any fortune at the barrier draws. That said, he can still win even if he has to do it tough. ILLAWONG LIVELY (1) should get a nice run and goes into multiples along with MIKONEY COURAGE (2) and also WOTCHAWAITINGFOR (8).

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Potential leader) + 1,6? 7?

RATINGS: 5/ 6/ 7/ 1/ 2/ 8/ 9/ 3/ 4.

R4

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Selections SHELBY BROMAC (6), JUSTICE SERVED (7), DEEDENUTO (2), RIVER PATROL (5).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 6/2,7/2,3,4,5,7 for $20 gets 250%.
OVERVIEW: SHELBY BROMAC (6) was left in an awkward spot when off pegs in his final Kiwi start but he ended up being the one to chase down a runaway leader and his effort to then hold off the peloton was admirable. With no trial form it’s a little hard to line him up but you’d have to think he’s the horse to beat on exposed form. JUSTICE SERVED (7) was forced to park out last time and if a similar fate befalls him then things get tough but if he can speed his way to the lead then the race will change complexion to some degree. DEEDENUTO (2) might be able to run the gate and he’s a good trifecta option. RIVER PATROL (5) is racing well but the first 200 metres will be important while HOT BREAKFAST (3) and DISTINCTIVE DEL (4) almost round out the field but also must be kept safe for wider multiples.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Potential leader) + 1,3,7

RATINGS: 6/ 7/ 2/ 5/ 3/ 4/ 1.

R5

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Selections ROOSEVELT (1), JILLIBY MAKO (5), ART FINEST (2), TISEH LUCKY LADY (6).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 1,5/1,2,5,6/1,2,5,6,7 for $20 gets 111%.
OVERVIEW: ROOSEVELT (1) did a good job to hold his ground in a slippery last half at Melton behind Concealment and he showed enough in two runs back in the middle of last year to suggest he will be right in the thick of things in an easier race from the pole tonight. JILLIBY MAKO (5) comes through some pretty strong references around Rupert Of Lincoln and Liftntorque so if he leads he will most certainly provide resistance but if he is left parked, it becomes trickier. ART FINEST (2) has the option of dropping onto the pegs early and that will give her a super chance to run top three but if you’re playing first fours it’s worth respecting TISEH LUCKY LADY (6) and ICE SCULPTRESS (7).

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Potential leader) + 3,5

RATINGS: 1/ 5/ 2/ 6/ 7/ 4/ 3.

R6

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Selections VENTIMIGLIA (5), MUSCLETONIAN (6), BOOTLEG BERT (1), SOVEREIGN MINX (2).
Suggested Bet Flexi Trifecta 5,6/1,5,6/1,2,4,5,6 for $20 gets 167%.
OVERVIEW: VENTIMIGLIA (5) is coming out of some pretty strong form races recently behind Deltasun and Majestic Player. Last time she found a nice race but a few things went against her and she was still running on hard late. If she can stay in front of her major danger early then she’ll either work on to the lead or simply control this race from the breeze. MUSCLETONIAN (6) has been terrific in three runs this preparation and he should be ready to peak here so he is the only other horse you need to play in your main Quaddie. Most of the rest have little knockout chances with BOOTLEG BERT (1) well served if he can step to a prominent position. SOVEREIGN MINX (2) comes into play for multiples if she can lead while CELTIC ROSE (4) is the other worth thought.

EARLY SPEED: 1,2,5

RATINGS: 5/ 6/ 1/ 2/ 4/ 3.

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